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First Horizon Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.07% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, First Horizon's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, First Horizon's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

First Horizon Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, First Horizon's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Horizon's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



First Horizon Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.23

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=(Cash and cash equivalents + Money Market Investments) / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


First Horizon  (NYSE:FHN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


First Horizon Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of First Horizon's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


First Horizon Business Description

First Horizon logo
Industry
Financial Services » Banks NAICS : 522110 SIC : 6021
Address
165 Madison Avenue, Memphis, TN, USA, 38103
First Horizon Corp is the parent company of First Tennessee Bank, a prominent regional bank with about 200 branches around Tennessee. The regional bank is responsible for roughly 65% of its revenue, while capital markets make a 25% contribution. The remainder is split between the firm's non-strategic (wind-down) and corporate operations. First Horizon concentrates on offering a variety of banking products mainly in its home state, where it has the second- largest deposit franchise with a 13% deposit market share.
Executives
Casbon John N director 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Barton Harry V Jr director 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Maples Ricky E director 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Kemp Sr James Michael director 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Reed Colin V director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: REED COLIN V a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Subramaniam Rajesh director 165 MADISON AVE MEMPHIS TN 38103
Palmer Vicki R director PO BOX 723040 ATLANTA GA 30339
Stewart Cecelia D. director 8410 W. BRYN MAWR, SUITE 700 CHICAGO IL 60631
Compton John C director 700 ANDERSON HILL ROAD PURCHASE NY 10577
Fenstermaker William H director 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Davidson Wendy P director 2210 WEST OAKLAWN DRIVE SPRINGDALE AR 72762
Shea E Stewart Iii director 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Sugranes Rosa director 2975 N.W. 77TH AVE DORAL FL 33132
Burdick Kenneth A director 6705 ROCKLEDGE DR SUITE 900 BETHESDA MD 20817
Taylor R Eugene director BANK OF AMERICA CORP 100 NORTH TRYON ST NC1-007-57-01 CHARLOTTE NC 28255

First Horizon Headlines

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