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Cisco Systems (NAS:CSCO) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 10.30% (As of Jan. 2023)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Cisco Systems's forward rate of return for was 10.30%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cisco Systems's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

CSCO' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 10.02   Med: 13.26   Max: 17.39
Current: 10.05

During the past 13 years, Cisco Systems's highest Forward Rate of Return was 17.39. The lowest was 10.02. And the median was 13.26.

CSCO's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
51.23% of 1548 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 9.51 vs CSCO: 10.05

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Cisco Systems Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cisco Systems's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cisco Systems Annual Data
Trend Jul13 Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.95 12.87 13.62 10.74 11.78

Cisco Systems Quarterly Data
Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.78 11.48 11.78 11.28 10.30

Competitive Comparison

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Cisco Systems's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Cisco Systems Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Cisco Systems's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cisco Systems's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %'s extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.



Cisco Systems Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Cisco Systems's Forward Rate of Return of Jan. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=3.31257143/48.67+0.0349
=10.30 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cisco Systems  (NAS:CSCO) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Cisco Systems Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cisco Systems's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cisco Systems (NAS:CSCO) Business Description

Cisco Systems logo
Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Cisco Systems Inc (NAS:CSCO) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Address
170 West Tasman Drive, San Jose, CA, USA, 95134-1706
Cisco Systems is the largest provider of networking equipment in the world and one of the largest software companies in the world. Its largest businesses are selling networking hardware and software (where it has leading market shares) and cybersecurity software like firewalls. It also has collaboration products, like its Webex suite, and observability tools. It primarily outsources its manufacturing to third parties and has a large sales and marketing staff—25,000 strong across 90 countries. Overall, Cisco employees 80,000 employees and sells its products globally.
Executives
Sarah Rae Murphy director C/O CISCO SYSTEMS, INC., 170 WEST TASMAN DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Jeffery S. Sharritts officer: EVP & Chief Cust & Prtnr Offcr 1200 ABERNATHY RD., NE, STE 1200, ATLANTA GA 30328
Deborah L Stahlkopf officer: EVP and Chief Legal Officer C/O CISCO SYSTEMS, INC., 170 WEST TASMAN DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Marianna Tessel director C/O INTUIT INC., 2700 COAST AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
John D Harris director C/O FLEXTRONICS INTERNATIONAL USA, INC., 6201 AMERICA CENTER DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95002
Richard Scott Herren officer: EVP and CFO 851 WEST CYPRESS CREEK ROAD, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33309
Wesley G Bush director 333 MAPLE AVENUE EAST, #3080, VIENNA VA 22180
Lisa T Su director C/O ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES, INC., 2485 AUGUSTINE DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Carol B Tome director 55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY, NE, ATLANTA GA 30328
Geraldine Elliott officer: EVP, Chief Sales & Mktg Offcr 1194 N. MATHILDA AVE., SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Maria Martinez officer: EVP, Chief Customer Exp Offcr THE LANDMARK @ 1 MARKET STREET, SUITE 300, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Mark Garrett director 106 EAST BABCOCK STREET SUITE 3A, BOZEMAN MT 59715
Irving Tan officer: SVP, Operations and Digital 170 WEST TASMAN DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95134
David Goeckeler officer: EVP, Networking and Security C/O WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION, 5601 GREAT OAKS PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95119
Brent L Saunders director 2000 GALLOPING HILL ROAD, C/O SCHERING PLOUGH CORP, KENILWORTH NJ 07033

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