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Dollar Tree Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 0.00% (As of Apr. 2022)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Dollar Tree's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dollar Tree's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

DLTR' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.7   Med: 21.85   Max: 24.11
Current: 21.66

During the past 13 years, Dollar Tree's highest Forward Rate of Return was 24.11. The lowest was 2.70. And the median was 21.85.

DLTR's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
71.63% of 215 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 14.80 vs DLTR: 21.66

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Dollar Tree Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dollar Tree's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dollar Tree Annual Data
Trend Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.19 22.35 15.71 - -

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data
Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Dollar Tree's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Dollar Tree Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Dollar Tree's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dollar Tree's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Dollar Tree Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Dollar Tree's Forward Rate of Return of Apr. 2022 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=3.07980952/162.45+0.1981
=21.71 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Dollar Tree  (NAS:DLTR) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Dollar Tree Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Dollar Tree's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Dollar Tree Business Description

Dollar Tree logo
Address
500 Volvo Parkway, Chesapeake, VA, USA, 23320
Dollar Tree operates discount stores in the U.S. and Canada, including over 7,800 shops under both its namesake and Family Dollar units (nearly 15,700 in total). The eponymous chain features branded and private-label goods, generally at a $1.25 price. Nearly 50% of Dollar Tree stores' fiscal 2020 sales came from consumables (including food, health and beauty, and household paper and cleaning products), just over 45% from variety items (including toys and housewares), and 5% from seasonal goods. Family Dollar features branded and private-label goods at prices generally ranging from $1 to $10, with over 76% of fiscal 2020 sales from consumables, 9% from seasonal/electronic items (including prepaid phones and toys), 9% from home products, and 6% from apparel and accessories.
Executives
Flanigan John W officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 100 MISSION RIDGE GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Gatta Lawrence J. Jr. officer: Chief Merchandising Officer FD C/O LONGS DRUG STORES CORPORATION 141 NORTH CIVIC DRIVE WALNUT CREEK CA 94596
Mantle Ridge Lp other: Director by deputization 712 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 17F NEW YORK NY 10019
Kelly Edward J Iii director CIT GROUP INC ONE CIT DRIVE LIVINGSTON NJ 07039
Hilal Paul C director MANTLE RIDGE, L.P. 712 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 17F NEW YORK NY 10019
Mr Cobalt Advisor Llc other: Director by deputization 712 FIFTH AVENUE, 17TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10019
Scott Bertram L director C/O BECTON DICKERSON & CO 1 BECTON DR FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417
Heinrich Daniel J director CLOROX CO 1221 BROADWAY OAKLAND CA 94612
Laschinger Mary A director 400 ATLANTIC STREET STAMFORD CT 06921
Grise Cheryl W director NORTHEAST UTILITIES 107 SELDEN STREET BERLIN CT 06037
Dreiling Richard W director, other: Executive Chairman C/O SAFEWAY INC 5918 STONERIDGE MALL ROAD PLEASANTON CA 94588
Hulett Jennifer officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 1500 SOLANA BLVD. SUITE 3400 WESTLAKE TX 76262
Alasdair James officer: EVP Merch and Supply Chain 100 PIER 1 PLACE FORT WORTH TX 76102
Park Winifred director 1 EXPRESS DRIVE COLUMBUS OH 43230
Lech Michael officer: Chief Logistics Officer 500 VOLVO PARKWAY CHESAPEAKE VA 23320

Dollar Tree Headlines

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