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DLTR (Dollar Tree) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 18.79 (As of Jun. 23, 2025)


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What is Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2025-06-23), Dollar Tree's current share price is $100.51. Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2025 was $5.35. Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 18.79.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

DLTR' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 12.32   Med: 34.79   Max: 59.36
Current: 18.46

During the past years, Dollar Tree's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 59.36. The lowest was 12.32. And the median was 34.79.

DLTR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
57.25% of 131 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 15.8 vs DLTR: 18.46

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Dollar Tree's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2025 was $1.094. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $5.35 for the trailing ten years ended in Apr. 2025.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Dollar Tree Annual Data
Trend Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.60 34.76 35.34 27.35 13.99

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data
Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.89 21.96 12.98 13.99 15.29

Competitive Comparison of Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


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Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=100.51/5.35
=18.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2025 is calculated as:

For example, Dollar Tree's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2025 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Apr. 2025 (Change)*Current CPI (Apr. 2025)
=1.094/135.3468*135.3468
=1.094

Current CPI (Apr. 2025) = 135.3468.

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201507 -1.284 100.691 -1.726
201510 -0.739 100.346 -0.997
201601 2.917 99.957 3.950
201604 0.571 100.947 0.766
201607 0.800 101.524 1.067
201610 -0.509 101.988 -0.675
201701 3.812 102.456 5.036
201704 1.350 103.167 1.771
201707 0.350 103.278 0.459
201710 -1.095 104.070 -1.424
201801 3.084 104.578 3.991
201804 0.866 105.708 1.109
201807 0.702 106.324 0.894
201810 0.227 106.695 0.288
201901 2.186 106.200 2.786
201904 1.693 107.818 2.125
201907 -0.277 108.250 -0.346
201910 -0.461 108.577 -0.575
202001 2.534 108.841 3.151
202004 3.046 108.173 3.811
202007 1.020 109.318 1.263
202010 0.253 109.861 0.312
202101 3.356 110.364 4.116
202104 1.413 112.673 1.697
202107 -0.214 115.183 -0.251
202110 -0.058 116.696 -0.067
202201 0.617 118.619 0.704
202204 1.253 121.978 1.390
202207 -1.311 125.002 -1.419
202210 -0.803 125.734 -0.864
202301 5.238 126.223 5.617
202304 1.801 127.992 1.904
202307 -1.163 128.974 -1.220
202310 -0.162 129.810 -0.169
202401 6.338 130.124 6.592
202404 1.738 132.289 1.778
202407 -1.637 132.708 -1.670
202410 1.660 133.182 1.687
202501 5.471 134.029 5.525
202504 1.094 135.347 1.094

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Dollar Tree  (NAS:DLTR) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Dollar Tree Business Description

Address
500 Volvo Parkway, Chesapeake, VA, USA, 23320
Dollar Tree operates discount stores across the United States and Canada, with over 8,800 shops under its namesake banner. About 50% of Dollar Tree's sales in fiscal 2024 were consumables (including food, health and beauty, and cleaning products), around 45% variety items (including toys and homewares), and 5% seasonal items. Dollar Tree sells most of its merchandise at the $1.25 price point and positions its stores in well-populated suburban markets. The retailer has agreed to sell Family Dollar (with about 7,000 stores) to private equity investors for $1 billion.
Executives
Creedon Michael C Jr officer: Chief Operating Officer 833 KEITH ROAD, WAKE FOREST NC 27587
Jonathan Leiken officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O DIEBOLD, INCORPORATED, 5995 MAYFAIR RD., NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Daniel J Heinrich director CLOROX CO, 1221 BROADWAY, OAKLAND CA 94612
Robert Aflatooni officer: Chief Information Officer DOLLAR TREE, INC., 500 VOLVO PARKWAY, CHESAPEAKE VA 23328
Jeffrey A. Davis officer: Chief Financial Officer 1200 WILSON DRIVE, WEST CHESTER PA 19380
Mantle Ridge Lp other: Director by deputization 712 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 17F, NEW YORK NY 10019
Diane Randolph director 1500 SOLANA BLVD, SUITE 3400, WESTLAKE TX 76262
Jennifer Hulett officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 1500 SOLANA BLVD., SUITE 3400, WESTLAKE TX 76262
Michael J Kindy officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Richard W Dreiling director, other: Executive Chairman C/O SAFEWAY INC, 5918 STONERIDGE MALL ROAD, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Janet Dhillon officer: Chief Legal Officer 111 W RIO SALADO PARKWAY, TEMPE AZ 85281
John W Flanigan officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Gatta Lawrence J. Jr. officer: Chief Merchandising Officer FD C/O LONGS DRUG STORES CORPORATION, 141 NORTH CIVIC DRIVE, WALNUT CREEK CA 94596
David A. Jacobs officer: Chief Strategy Officer 500 VOLVO PARKWAY, CHESAPEAKE VA 23320
Kelly Edward J Iii director CIT GROUP INC, ONE CIT DRIVE, LIVINGSTON NJ 07039