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AGO (Assured Guaranty) E10 : $7.35 (As of Sep. 2024)


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What is Assured Guaranty E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Assured Guaranty's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2024 was $3.170. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is $7.35 for the trailing ten years ended in Sep. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Assured Guaranty's average E10 Growth Rate was 11.70% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 10.20% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 8.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 15.20% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Assured Guaranty was 26.60% per year. The lowest was 6.80% per year. And the median was 16.40% per year.

As of today (2024-12-14), Assured Guaranty's current stock price is $90.05. Assured Guaranty's E10 for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2024 was $7.35. Assured Guaranty's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 12.25.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Assured Guaranty was 14.92. The lowest was 3.94. And the median was 9.89.


Assured Guaranty E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Assured Guaranty's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Assured Guaranty E10 Chart

Assured Guaranty Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.99 5.19 5.58 6.08 6.94

Assured Guaranty Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.58 6.94 7.22 7.29 7.35

Competitive Comparison of Assured Guaranty's E10

For the Insurance - Specialty subindustry, Assured Guaranty's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Assured Guaranty's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Assured Guaranty's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Assured Guaranty's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Assured Guaranty E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Assured Guaranty's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Sep. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Sep. 2024)
=3.17/133.0289*133.0289
=3.170

Current CPI (Sep. 2024) = 133.0289.

Assured Guaranty Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201412 3.280 99.070 4.404
201503 1.280 99.621 1.709
201506 1.960 100.684 2.590
201509 0.880 100.392 1.166
201512 3.030 99.792 4.039
201603 0.430 100.470 0.569
201606 1.090 101.688 1.426
201609 3.600 101.861 4.702
201612 1.490 101.863 1.946
201703 2.490 102.862 3.220
201706 1.240 103.349 1.596
201709 1.720 104.136 2.197
201712 0.440 104.011 0.563
201803 1.680 105.290 2.123
201806 0.670 106.317 0.838
201809 1.470 106.507 1.836
201812 0.830 105.998 1.042
201903 0.520 107.251 0.645
201906 1.390 108.070 1.711
201909 0.700 108.329 0.860
201912 1.420 108.420 1.742
202003 -0.590 108.902 -0.721
202006 2.100 108.767 2.568
202009 1.020 109.815 1.236
202012 1.760 109.897 2.130
202103 0.140 111.754 0.167
202106 1.290 114.631 1.497
202109 0.220 115.734 0.253
202112 3.740 117.630 4.230
202203 0.980 121.301 1.075
202206 -0.740 125.017 -0.787
202209 0.180 125.227 0.191
202212 1.520 125.222 1.615
202303 1.340 127.348 1.400
202306 2.060 128.729 2.129
202309 2.600 129.860 2.663
202312 6.310 129.419 6.486
202403 1.890 131.776 1.908
202406 1.410 132.554 1.415
202409 3.170 133.029 3.170

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Assured Guaranty  (NYSE:AGO) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Assured Guaranty's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=90.05/7.35
=12.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Assured Guaranty was 14.92. The lowest was 3.94. And the median was 9.89.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Assured Guaranty E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Assured Guaranty's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Assured Guaranty Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Woodbourne Avenue, Hamilton, BMU, HM 08
Assured Guaranty Ltd. provides credit protection products to the United States and international public finance and structured finance markets, and manages assets across collateralized loan obligations as well as opportunity funds and liquid funds that build on its corporate credit, asset-based finance, municipal and healthcare experience. The company is operating in two segments Insurance segment and the Asset Management segment. The majority of the revenue earned by the company from the Insurance segment.
Executives
Robert Bailenson officer: Chief Accounting Officer ASSURED GUARANTY LTD., 30 WOODBOURNE AVENUE, HAMILTON D0 HM08
Yukiko Omura director C/O ASSURED GUARANTY (EUROPE) LTD., 1 FINSBURY SQUARE, LONDON X0 EC2A 1AE
Dominic Frederico director, officer: Deputy Chairman/President/CEO ACE LTD, ACE BLDG 30 WOODBOURNE AVE HAMILTON BER
Laura Bieling officer: Chief Accounting Officer* 30 WOODBOURNE AVE., 5TH FLOOR, HAMILTON D0 D0 HM08
G Lawrence Buhl director 30 WOODBOURNE AVE, C/O ASSURED GUARANTY LTD, HAMILTON BERMUDA D0 0000
Stephen Donnarumma officer: Chief Credit Officer 30 WOODOURNE AVENUE, HAMILTON D0 HM08
Jorge A. Gana officer: Chief Risk Officer 30 WOODBOURNE AVE, 5TH FLOOR, HAMILTON D0 D0 HM08
Howard Albert officer: Chief Risk Officer 31 WEST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
David A. Buzen officer: Head of Asset Management* 850 3RD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Holly Horn officer: Chief Surveillance Officer 30 WOODBOURNE AVE, 5TH FLOOR, HAMILTON D0 D0 HM08
Brewer Russell B. Ii officer: Chief Surveillance Officer 31 WEST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Shea Courtney C. director 1555 N. ASTOR STREET, APARTMENT 9W, CHICAGO IL 60610
Michelle Mccloskey director C/O ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN LP, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Lorin Radtke director 30 WOODBOURNE AVE, 5TH FLOOR, HAMILTON D0 D0 HM08
Thomas W Jones director ALTRIA GROUP INC, 6601 WEST BROAD STREET, RICHMOND VA 23230