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Dollar Tree Graham Number

: $45.49 (As of Apr. 2022)
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Graham Number is a figure that measures a stock's fundamental value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.

As of today (2022-08-18), the stock price of Dollar Tree is $168.05. Dollar Tree's graham number for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2022 was $45.49. Therefore, Dollar Tree's Price to Graham Number ratio for today is 3.69.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dollar Tree's Graham Number or its related term are showing as below:

DLTR' s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.24   Med: 2.5   Max: 7.76
Current: 3.69

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Graham Number ratio of Dollar Tree was 7.76. The lowest was 1.24. And the median was 2.50.

DLTR's Price-to-Graham-Number is ranked worse than
84.69% of 209 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 1.39 vs DLTR: 3.69

Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.


Dollar Tree Graham Number Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dollar Tree's Graham Number can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dollar Tree Annual Data
Trend Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22
Graham Number
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 19.66 34.62 39.08

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data
Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22
Graham Number Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 37.47 34.98 35.76 39.08 45.49

Competitive Comparison

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Dollar Tree's Graham Number, along with its competitors' market caps and Graham Number data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Dollar Tree Graham Number Distribution

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Dollar Tree's Graham Number distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dollar Tree's Graham Number falls into.



Dollar Tree Graham Number Calculation

Graham Number is a concept based on Ben Graham's conservative valuation of companies.

Dollar Tree's Graham Number for the fiscal year that ended in Jan. 2022 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5* Tangible Book per Share *EPS without NRI)
=sqrt of (22.5*11.702*5.8)
=39.08

Dollar Tree's Graham Number for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2022 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5*Tangible Book per Share*EPS without NRI (TTM))
=sqrt of (22.5*14.001*6.57)
=45.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Dollar Tree  (NAS:DLTR) Graham Number Explanation

Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:

Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years.

Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)

Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.

In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.

Dollar Tree's Price to Graham number Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Graham number=Share Price (Today)/Graham number (Q: Apr. 2022 )
=168.05/45.49
=3.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Please keep these in mind:

1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.
2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.
3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.


Dollar Tree Graham Number Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Dollar Tree's Graham Number provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Dollar Tree Business Description

Dollar Tree logo
Address
500 Volvo Parkway, Chesapeake, VA, USA, 23320
Dollar Tree operates discount stores in the U.S. and Canada, including over 7,800 shops under both its namesake and Family Dollar units (nearly 15,700 in total). The eponymous chain features branded and private-label goods, generally at a $1.25 price. Nearly 50% of Dollar Tree stores' fiscal 2020 sales came from consumables (including food, health and beauty, and household paper and cleaning products), just over 45% from variety items (including toys and housewares), and 5% from seasonal goods. Family Dollar features branded and private-label goods at prices generally ranging from $1 to $10, with over 76% of fiscal 2020 sales from consumables, 9% from seasonal/electronic items (including prepaid phones and toys), 9% from home products, and 6% from apparel and accessories.
Executives
Flanigan John W officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 100 MISSION RIDGE GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Gatta Lawrence J. Jr. officer: Chief Merchandising Officer FD C/O LONGS DRUG STORES CORPORATION 141 NORTH CIVIC DRIVE WALNUT CREEK CA 94596
Mantle Ridge Lp other: Director by deputization 712 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 17F NEW YORK NY 10019
Kelly Edward J Iii director CIT GROUP INC ONE CIT DRIVE LIVINGSTON NJ 07039
Hilal Paul C director MANTLE RIDGE, L.P. 712 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 17F NEW YORK NY 10019
Mr Cobalt Advisor Llc other: Director by deputization 712 FIFTH AVENUE, 17TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10019
Scott Bertram L director C/O BECTON DICKERSON & CO 1 BECTON DR FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417
Heinrich Daniel J director CLOROX CO 1221 BROADWAY OAKLAND CA 94612
Laschinger Mary A director 400 ATLANTIC STREET STAMFORD CT 06921
Grise Cheryl W director NORTHEAST UTILITIES 107 SELDEN STREET BERLIN CT 06037
Dreiling Richard W director, other: Executive Chairman C/O SAFEWAY INC 5918 STONERIDGE MALL ROAD PLEASANTON CA 94588
Hulett Jennifer officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 1500 SOLANA BLVD. SUITE 3400 WESTLAKE TX 76262
Alasdair James officer: EVP Merch and Supply Chain 100 PIER 1 PLACE FORT WORTH TX 76102
Park Winifred director 1 EXPRESS DRIVE COLUMBUS OH 43230
Lech Michael officer: Chief Logistics Officer 500 VOLVO PARKWAY CHESAPEAKE VA 23320

Dollar Tree Headlines

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