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Kogan.com (ASX:KGN) Beneish M-Score : -3.81 (As of Jun. 25, 2024)


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What is Kogan.com Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.81 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kogan.com's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:KGN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.82   Med: -2.98   Max: 0.11
Current: -3.81

During the past 7 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Kogan.com was 0.11. The lowest was -3.82. And the median was -2.98.


Kogan.com Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kogan.com's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kogan.com Beneish M-Score Chart

Kogan.com Annual Data
Trend Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -2.08 -2.98 0.11 -3.82 -3.81

Kogan.com Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -3.82 - -3.81 -

Competitive Comparison of Kogan.com's Beneish M-Score

For the Internet Retail subindustry, Kogan.com's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kogan.com's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Kogan.com's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kogan.com's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Kogan.com Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Kogan.com for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4862+0.528 * 0.9142+0.404 * 1.4964+0.892 * 0.6823+0.115 * 0.8926
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1105+4.679 * -0.363244-0.327 * 0.7427
=-3.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun23) TTM:Last Year (Jun22) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$5.4 Mil.
Revenue was A$486.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$133.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$142.9 Mil.
Total Assets was A$274.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$17.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$16.6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$170.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$97.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$8.2 Mil.
Net Income was A$-25.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$2.8 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$70.9 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$5.4 Mil.
Revenue was A$713.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$179.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$235.5 Mil.
Total Assets was A$360.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$24.6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$19.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$225.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$137.6 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$49.9 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(5.432 / 486.749) / (5.357 / 713.375)
=0.01116 / 0.007509
=1.4862

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(179.299 / 713.375) / (133.818 / 486.749)
=0.251339 / 0.274922
=0.9142

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (142.857 + 17.214) / 274.058) / (1 - (235.518 + 24.642) / 360.31)
=0.415923 / 0.277955
=1.4964

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=486.749 / 713.375
=0.6823

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(19.203 / (19.203 + 24.642)) / (16.584 / (16.584 + 17.214))
=0.437975 / 0.49068
=0.8926

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(170.837 / 486.749) / (225.472 / 713.375)
=0.350976 / 0.316064
=1.1105

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((8.2 + 97.678) / 274.058) / ((49.862 + 137.551) / 360.31)
=0.386334 / 0.520144
=0.7427

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-25.852 - 2.841 - 70.857) / 274.058
=-0.363244

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Kogan.com has a M-score of -3.81 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Kogan.com Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Kogan.com (ASX:KGN) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
139 Gladstone Street, South Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3205
Kogan.com is an Australian pure-play online retailer. The firm primarily caters to value-driven consumers through its private label products, spanning multiple categories including consumer electronics, furniture, and fitness. For brand-conscious consumers, Kogan also offers a wide range of products from well-known third-party brands such as Apple, Samsung, and Google. Additionally, Kogan competes in the online marketplace industry, providing a platform and customer base for approved sellers in exchange for a commission. Finally, the firm sells multiple white-labelled products and services including prepaid mobile phone plans, insurance, and travel packages.

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