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Pick N Pay Stores (FRA:PIK) Beneish M-Score : -2.59 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Pick N Pay Stores Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.59 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Pick N Pay Stores's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:PIK' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.97   Med: -2.66   Max: -2.32
Current: -2.59

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Pick N Pay Stores was -2.32. The lowest was -2.97. And the median was -2.66.


Pick N Pay Stores Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Pick N Pay Stores's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Pick N Pay Stores Beneish M-Score Chart

Pick N Pay Stores Annual Data
Trend Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.53 -2.87 -2.97 -2.61 -2.59

Pick N Pay Stores Semi-Annual Data
Feb14 Aug14 Feb15 Aug15 Feb16 Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.61 - -2.59 -

Competitive Comparison of Pick N Pay Stores's Beneish M-Score

For the Department Stores subindustry, Pick N Pay Stores's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pick N Pay Stores's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Pick N Pay Stores's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pick N Pay Stores's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Pick N Pay Stores Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Pick N Pay Stores for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9762+0.528 * 0.9567+0.404 * 1.0456+0.892 * 0.9809+0.115 * 1.0978
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0375+4.679 * -0.036521-0.327 * 1.0052
=-2.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Feb23) TTM:Last Year (Feb22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €233 Mil.
Revenue was €5,558 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,092 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €913 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,210 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,048 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €186 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €176 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,227 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €789 Mil.
Net Income was €61 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €142 Mil.
Total Receivables was €244 Mil.
Revenue was €5,666 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,065 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,115 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,336 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €970 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €192 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €173 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,330 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €791 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(233.256 / 5558.183) / (243.602 / 5666.422)
=0.041966 / 0.04299
=0.9762

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1065.056 / 5666.422) / (1092.037 / 5558.183)
=0.187959 / 0.196474
=0.9567

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (912.557 + 1048.25) / 2209.732) / (1 - (1114.54 + 969.598) / 2335.776)
=0.112649 / 0.107732
=1.0456

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5558.183 / 5666.422
=0.9809

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(192.173 / (192.173 + 969.598)) / (185.963 / (185.963 + 1048.25))
=0.165414 / 0.150673
=1.0978

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(175.646 / 5558.183) / (172.599 / 5666.422)
=0.031601 / 0.03046
=1.0375

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((789.336 + 1227.26) / 2209.732) / ((790.654 + 1329.999) / 2335.776)
=0.912598 / 0.907901
=1.0052

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(61.021 - 0 - 141.722) / 2209.732
=-0.036521

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Pick N Pay Stores has a M-score of -2.69 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Pick N Pay Stores Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Pick N Pay Stores (FRA:PIK) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
101 Rosmead Avenue, Pick n Pay Office Park, Kenilworth, Cape Town, WC, ZAF, 7708
Pick N Pay Stores Ltd is a South African multiformat and multichannel retailer. The company operates in South Africa, Namibia, Botswana, Zambia, Mozambique, Mauritius, Swaziland, and Lesotho. The company offers food and groceries, clothing, general merchandise, and services across multiple store formats, both franchised and owned. The customer base is mainly represented by middle-income South African consumer. The portfolio of stores is composed of supermarkets, hypermarkets, local shops, express shops, clothing shops, liquor stores, pharmacies, and an Internet shopping platform.