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Pick N Pay Stores (FRA:PIK) Altman Z-Score : 3.04 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Pick N Pay Stores Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 3.05 is strong.

Pick N Pay Stores has a Altman Z-Score of 3.04, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Pick N Pay Stores's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:PIK' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.05   Med: 3.73   Max: 6.33
Current: 3.05

During the past 13 years, Pick N Pay Stores's highest Altman Z-Score was 6.33. The lowest was 3.05. And the median was 3.73.


Pick N Pay Stores Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Pick N Pay Stores's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Pick N Pay Stores Altman Z-Score Chart

Pick N Pay Stores Annual Data
Trend Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.86 3.59 3.22 3.32 3.30

Pick N Pay Stores Semi-Annual Data
Feb14 Aug14 Feb15 Aug15 Feb16 Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 3.32 - 3.30 -

Competitive Comparison of Pick N Pay Stores's Altman Z-Score

For the Department Stores subindustry, Pick N Pay Stores's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pick N Pay Stores's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Pick N Pay Stores's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pick N Pay Stores's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Pick N Pay Stores Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Pick N Pay Stores's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.1424+1.4*0.1106+3.3*0.0822+0.6*0.4421+1.0*2.5153
=3.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Feb. 2023:
Total Assets was €2,210 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €913 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,227 Mil.
Retained Earnings was €244 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was €89 Mil.
Interest Expense was €-93 Mil.
Revenue was €5,558 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was €892 Mil.
Total Liabilities was €2,017 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(912.557 - 1227.26)/2209.732
=-0.1424

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=244.377/2209.732
=0.1106

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(89.067 - -92.525)/2209.732
=0.0822

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=891.571/2016.596
=0.4421

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=5558.183/2209.732
=2.5153

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Pick N Pay Stores has a Altman Z-Score of 3.04 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Pick N Pay Stores  (FRA:PIK) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Pick N Pay Stores Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Pick N Pay Stores (FRA:PIK) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
101 Rosmead Avenue, Pick n Pay Office Park, Kenilworth, Cape Town, WC, ZAF, 7708
Pick N Pay Stores Ltd is a South African multiformat and multichannel retailer. The company operates in South Africa, Namibia, Botswana, Zambia, Mozambique, Mauritius, Swaziland, and Lesotho. The company offers food and groceries, clothing, general merchandise, and services across multiple store formats, both franchised and owned. The customer base is mainly represented by middle-income South African consumer. The portfolio of stores is composed of supermarkets, hypermarkets, local shops, express shops, clothing shops, liquor stores, pharmacies, and an Internet shopping platform.