Agesa Hayat Ve Emeklilik AS Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Agesa Hayat Ve Emeklilik AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.8779 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 1.095 | + | 0.892 * 2.1298 | + | 0.115 * 0.8966 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 0 | + | 4.679 * -0.021183 | - | 0.327 * 0.9932 |
| = | -1.48 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Dec23) TTM: | Last Year (Dec22) TTM: |
Total Receivables was ₺141,575 Mil.
Revenue was 4374.976 + 3515.961 + 5709.42 + 2210.726 = ₺15,811 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4374.976 + 3515.961 + 5709.42 + 2210.726 = ₺15,811 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺147,761 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺165,062 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺124 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺147 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺143,614 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺48 Mil.
Net Income was 369.769 + 274.509 + 565.796 + 214.53 = ₺1,425 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 200.788 + 146.177 + 583.041 + 43.969 = ₺974 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1218.893 + 1216.327 + 739.461 + 772.417 = ₺3,947 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was ₺75,721 Mil.
Revenue was 1756.213 + 2070.607 + 2044.238 + 1552.577 = ₺7,424 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1756.213 + 2070.607 + 2044.238 + 1552.577 = ₺7,424 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺79,206 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺87,633 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺98 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺93 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺72 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺76,763 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺29 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (141574.942 / 15811.083) | / | (75721.451 / 7423.635) |
| = | 8.954158 | / | 10.20005 |
| | = | 0.8779 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (7423.635 / 7423.635) | / | (15811.083 / 15811.083) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (147761.302 + 123.822) / 165062.415) | / | (1 - (79205.503 + 98.448) / 87632.574) |
| = | 0.104065 | / | 0.09504 |
| | = | 1.095 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 15811.083 | / | 7423.635 |
| | = | 2.1298 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (93.35 / (93.35 + 98.448)) | / | (147.02 / (147.02 + 123.822)) |
| = | 0.48671 | / | 0.542826 |
| | = | 0.8966 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (0 / 15811.083) | / | (72.066 / 7423.635) |
| = | 0 | / | 0.009708 |
| | = | 0 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((47.956 + 143613.639) / 165062.415) | / | ((29.143 + 76762.944) / 87632.574) |
| = | 0.870347 | / | 0.876296 |
| | = | 0.9932 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (1424.604 - 973.975 | - | 3947.098) | / | 165062.415 |
| | = | -0.021183 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Agesa Hayat Ve Emeklilik AS has a M-score of -1.48 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
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