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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Warning Sign:
Beneish M-Score -0.89 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.
The historical rank and industry rank for PT Sona Topas Tourism Industry Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Sona Topas Tourism Industry Tbk was 654.69. The lowest was -6.98. And the median was -2.40.
The historical data trend for PT Sona Topas Tourism Industry Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
PT Sona Topas Tourism Industry Tbk Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial |
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-2.60 | 36.73 | 0.33 | -1.69 | -2.95 |
PT Sona Topas Tourism Industry Tbk Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | Jun24 | Sep24 | |
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial |
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-2.70 | -2.95 | -3.37 | -3.30 | -0.89 |
For the Travel Services subindustry, PT Sona Topas Tourism Industry Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, PT Sona Topas Tourism Industry Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where PT Sona Topas Tourism Industry Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of PT Sona Topas Tourism Industry Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 2.682 | + | 0.528 * 1.0345 | + | 0.404 * 1.1306 | + | 0.892 * 1.2749 | + | 0.115 * 1.0422 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 1.0531 | + | 4.679 * -0.073353 | - | 0.327 * 0.7888 | |||||||
= | -0.89 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Sep24) TTM: | Last Year (Sep23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was Rp17,600 Mil. Revenue was 272548.693 + 201706.108 + 173136.599 + 184640.379 = Rp832,032 Mil. Gross Profit was 128726.199 + 115133.485 + 93461.838 + 98890.594 = Rp436,212 Mil. Total Current Assets was Rp647,148 Mil. Total Assets was Rp905,107 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp157,818 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp81,725 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp171,349 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was Rp136,113 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp108,728 Mil. Net Income was 18620.823 + 11141.99 + -3709.134 + -1323.775 = Rp24,730 Mil. Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 59380.297 + 20807.001 + 33094.793 + -22159.806 = Rp91,122 Mil. |
Total Receivables was Rp5,147 Mil. Revenue was 210837.527 + 170002.992 + 142323.848 + 129454.666 = Rp652,619 Mil. Gross Profit was 113900.484 + 90527.697 + 77615.452 + 71907.126 = Rp353,951 Mil. Total Current Assets was Rp668,885 Mil. Total Assets was Rp964,020 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp200,796 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp110,798 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp127,619 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was Rp206,719 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp123,889 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (17599.798 / 832031.779) | / | (5147.079 / 652619.033) | |
= | 0.021153 | / | 0.007887 | |
= | 2.682 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (353950.759 / 652619.033) | / | (436212.116 / 832031.779) | |
= | 0.542354 | / | 0.524273 | |
= | 1.0345 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (647147.602 + 157817.905) / 905107.496) | / | (1 - (668884.567 + 200796.24) / 964019.761) | |
= | 0.110641 | / | 0.09786 | |
= | 1.1306 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 832031.779 | / | 652619.033 | |
= | 1.2749 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (110797.719 / (110797.719 + 200796.24)) | / | (81724.603 / (81724.603 + 157817.905)) | |
= | 0.355584 | / | 0.34117 | |
= | 1.0422 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (171348.719 / 832031.779) | / | (127618.646 / 652619.033) | |
= | 0.20594 | / | 0.195548 | |
= | 1.0531 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((108727.682 + 136112.985) / 905107.496) | / | ((123888.732 + 206718.506) / 964019.761) | |
= | 0.27051 | / | 0.342947 | |
= | 0.7888 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (24729.904 - 0 | - | 91122.285) | / | 905107.496 | |
= | -0.073353 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
PT Sona Topas Tourism Industry Tbk has a M-score of -0.89 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
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