United Bank for Africa (NSA:UBA) Beneish M-Score: -2.36 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


NSA:UBA United Bank for Africa PLC NSA:UBA
77 GF Score
Price ₦39.10
GF Value ₦35.30
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is United Bank for Africa Beneish M-Score?

United Bank for Africa NSA:UBA -1.76% 77 Beneish M-Score is -2.36 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates NSA:UBA with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of ₦35.30 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,397 Banks companies, United Bank for Africa ranks worse than 56.84% on this metric.

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.36 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for United Bank for Africa's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NSA:UBA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.06   Med: -2.66   Max: -1.46
Current: -2.36

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of United Bank for Africa was -1.46. The lowest was -3.06. And the median was -2.66.

NSA:UBA
77GF Score
United Bank for Africa PLC NSA:UBA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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United Bank for Africa Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of United Bank for Africa for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0002+0.892 * 0.8842+0.115 * 0.808
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.5219+4.679 * 0.007939-0.327 * 0.6179
=-2.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₦0 Mil.
Revenue was 385607 + 541648 + 478823 + 463677 = ₦1,869,755 Mil.
Gross Profit was 385607 + 541648 + 478823 + 463677 = ₦1,869,755 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₦0 Mil.
Total Assets was ₦33,173,188 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₦448,996 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₦66,680 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₦24,818 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₦0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₦979,362 Mil.
Net Income was -139762 + 192492 + 137910 + 183014 = ₦373,654 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₦0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -2406215 + 784567 + -409486 + 2141414 = ₦110,280 Mil.
 Total Receivables was ₦0 Mil.
Revenue was 573712 + 602998 + 559437 + 378565 = ₦2,114,712 Mil.
Gross Profit was 573712 + 602998 + 559437 + 378565 = ₦2,114,712 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₦0 Mil.
Total Assets was ₦30,323,355 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₦416,623 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₦48,608 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₦53,783 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₦0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₦1,448,836 Mil.

1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 1869755) / (0 / 2114712)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2114712 / 2114712) / (1869755 / 1869755)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 448996) / 33173188) / (1 - (0 + 416623) / 30323355)
=0.986465 / 0.986261
=1.0002

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1869755 / 2114712
=0.8842

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(48608 / (48608 + 416623)) / (66680 / (66680 + 448996))
=0.104481 / 0.129306
=0.808

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(24818 / 1869755) / (53783 / 2114712)
=0.013273 / 0.025433
=0.5219

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((979362 + 0) / 33173188) / ((1448836 + 0) / 30323355)
=0.029523 / 0.04778
=0.6179

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(373654 - 0 - 110280) / 33173188
=0.007939

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

United Bank for Africa has a M-score of -2.36 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.36 mean?
United Bank for Africa (NSA:UBA) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.36 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on United Bank for Africa and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, United Bank for Africa ranks #794 out of 1397 companies in the Banks industry, placing it in the top 56.8%.
Is United Bank for Africa's Beneish M-Score too high?
United Bank for Africa's current Beneish M-Score is -2.36. Based on the distribution chart, United Bank for Africa ranks #794 out of 1397 companies in the Banks industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, United Bank for Africa has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does United Bank for Africa's Beneish M-Score compare to JPM and BAC?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, United Bank for Africa ranks #794 out of 1397 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places United Bank for Africa in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Banks company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Banks industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on United Bank for Africa and its competitors. United Bank for Africa's current Beneish M-Score is -2.36. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is United Bank for Africa stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, United Bank for Africa (NSA:UBA) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₦35.30, compared to a current price of ₦39.10 — trading 10.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.36. United Bank for Africa's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For United Bank for Africa (NSA:UBA), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.36 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is United Bank for Africa (NSA:UBA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, United Bank for Africa stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₦39.10 is trading 10.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₦35.30. GuruFocus considers United Bank for Africa to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NSA:UBA:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.36
  • GF Value™: ₦35.30 vs. price of ₦39.10 (10.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NSA:UBA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

United Bank for Africa Business Description

Address 57 Marina, UBA House, Lagos, NGA
United Bank for Africa PLC is a financial services institution. It offers banking and other financial and pension fund custody services. The geographical segments are Nigeria, the Rest of Africa and the Rest of the world. The business segments of the company are 1) Corporate Banking, which provides financial solutions to multinationals, regional companies, state-owned companies, non-governmental organizations, international and multinational organizations and financial institutions. 2) Retail/ Commercial banking segment products and services to the middle and retail segments of the market. 3) Treasury and Financial Markets segment provide financing and risk management solutions and advisory services to the company's corporate and institutional customers.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NSA:UBA

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₦39.10
Price
₦35.30
GF Value