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Alm Brand AS (OCSE:ALMB) Beneish M-Score : -2.52 (As of Apr. 01, 2025)


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What is Alm Brand AS Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.52 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alm Brand AS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OCSE:ALMB' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.87   Med: -2.58   Max: -1.82
Current: -2.52

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Alm Brand AS was -1.82. The lowest was -2.87. And the median was -2.58.


Alm Brand AS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Alm Brand AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9433+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0027+0.892 * 0.9863+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * 0.002088-0.327 * 0.9462
=-2.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was kr494 Mil.
Revenue was 3290 + 3582 + 3191 + 3584 = kr13,647 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3290 + 3582 + 3191 + 3584 = kr13,647 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr0 Mil.
Total Assets was kr35,435 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr748 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr2,252 Mil.
Net Income was 222 + 318 + 35 + 202 = kr777 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = kr0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -753 + -663 + 474 + 1645 = kr703 Mil.
Total Receivables was kr531 Mil.
Revenue was 3768 + 3206 + 3157 + 3706 = kr13,837 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3768 + 3206 + 3157 + 3706 = kr13,837 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr0 Mil.
Total Assets was kr35,569 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr844 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr2,389 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(494 / 13647) / (531 / 13837)
=0.036198 / 0.038375
=0.9433

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(13837 / 13837) / (13647 / 13647)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 748) / 35435) / (1 - (0 + 844) / 35569)
=0.978891 / 0.976271
=1.0027

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=13647 / 13837
=0.9863

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 844)) / (0 / (0 + 748))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 13647) / (0 / 13837)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2252 + 0) / 35435) / ((2389 + 0) / 35569)
=0.063553 / 0.067165
=0.9462

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(777 - 0 - 703) / 35435
=0.002088

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Alm Brand AS has a M-score of -2.52 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Alm Brand AS Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Alm Brand AS Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Midtermolen 7, Copenhagen, DNK, DK-2100
Alm Brand AS is a Danish investment holding company. Along with its subsidiaries, it offers insurance solutions, under various brands, to its customers. Its business segments include the personal Lines segment which comprises sales of insurance to private households through its own sales channels and partnerships, the Commercial Lines segment which comprises sales to agricultural and commercial customers through its own sales channels and partnership, and the Non-life insurance segment which is also its key revenue generating segment. Geographically, the company generates the majority of its revenue from Denmark and the rest from North America and other regions.