LM Funding America (LM Funding America) Predictability Rank

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What is LM Funding America Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

LM Funding America Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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LM Funding America (LM Funding America) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Credit Services » LM Funding America Inc (NAS:LMFA) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

1YJ:Germany

Address

1200 Platt Street, Suite 1000, Tampa, FL, USA, 33602

Website

http://www.lmfunding.com

LM Funding America Inc is a financial services company. The company provides funding to nonprofit community associations located in the state of Florida and to nonprofit community associations in the states of Washington and Colorado. Its products include Original Product and New Neighbor Guaranty. Its original product offering consists of providing funding to Associations by purchasing their rights under delinquent accounts that are selected by the Associations arising from unpaid Association assessments. It currently has two lines of business recently commenced cryptocurrency mining business and historical specialty finance business. The Company has two operating segments: Specialty Finance and Mining Operations.

Executives

Ryan H Duran	officer: Chief Financial Officer	3408 W. CHEROKEE AVE, TAMPA FL 33611
Bruce M. Rodgers	director, officer: Chairman, CEO and President	302 KNIGHTS RUN AVE., STE. 1000, TAMPA FL 33602
Richard D. Russell	officer: Vice President of Operations	3201 W BAY VISTA AVE, TAMPA FL 33611
Andrew L. Graham	director	3802 COCONUT PALM DRIVE, TAMPA FL 33619
Tian Zhang	director	1200 WEST PLATT STREET, SUITE 100, TAMPA FL 33606
Douglas I. Mccree	director	302 KNIGHTS RUN AVE., STE. 1000, TAMPA FL 33602
Mint Capital Advisors Ltd	10 percent owner	WESTERN ROAD, NASSAU C5 00000
Frank Charles Silcox	director	FS VENTURES, LLC, 315 S. PLANT AVENUE, TAMPA FL 33606
User-friendly Holding, Llc	10 percent owner	10200 GROGANS MILL RD., SUITE 440, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
User-friendly Phone Book, Llc	10 percent owner	10200 GROGANS MILL RD., SUITE 440, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Xueyuan Han	10 percent owner	22 WHITE PLACE, WEST ORANGE NJ 07052
Bz Industrial Ltd	10 percent owner	22 WHITE PLACE, WEST ORANGE NJ 07052
Craven House Capital North America Llc	10 percent owner	107 WEST FEDERAL ST. PO BOX 480, MIDDLEBURG VA 20018-0480
Frederick J Mills	director	3006 EUCLID AVE, TAMPA FL 33611
Carollinn Gould	director, 10 percent owner, officer: VP - General Manager	302 KNIGHTS RUN AVE., STE. 1000, TAMPA FL 33602