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Motorcycle HoldingsASX:MTO +2.35%82 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 30.35% as of Jun. 2025, which is 9% below its 10-year median of 33.26. GuruFocus rates ASX:MTO with a GF Score™ of 82/100 and a GF Value™ of A$2.66 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 989 Vehicles & Parts companies, Motorcycle Holdings ranks better than 96.06% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Motorcycle Holdings's forward rate of return for was 30.35%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Motorcycle Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
ASX:MTO'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 17.38 Med: 33.26 Max: 53.1
Current: 32.94
During the past 10 years, Motorcycle Holdings's highest Forward Rate of Return was 53.10. The lowest was 17.38. And the median was 33.26.
ASX:MTO's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 96.06% of 989
companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 10.27
vs ASX:MTO: 32.94
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Motorcycle Holdings (ASX:MTO) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Motorcycle Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Motorcycle Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Motorcycle Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Motorcycle Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
ASX:MTO vs CVNA, PAG, KMX: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, Motorcycle Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Motorcycle Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Vehicles & Parts Industry
For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Motorcycle Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Motorcycle Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Motorcycle Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 30.35% mean?
Motorcycle Holdings (ASX:MTO) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 30.35% as of Jun. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Motorcycle Holdings and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 33.26. Over the past decade, Motorcycle Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 17.38 to 53.10. According to the industry distribution chart, Motorcycle Holdings ranks #39 out of 989 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, placing it in the top 3.9%.
Is Motorcycle Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Motorcycle Holdings' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 30.35% is near median its 10-year median of 33.26. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 17.38 to a high of 53.10. The Vehicles & Parts industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.27. Motorcycle Holdings' value of 30.35% is 195.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Motorcycle Holdings ranks #39 out of 989 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Motorcycle Holdings has a GF Score™ of 82/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Motorcycle Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to CVNA and PAG?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, Motorcycle Holdings ranks #39 out of 989 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Motorcycle Holdings in the top 4% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.27. Motorcycle Holdings' value of 30.35% is 195.5% above this benchmark. Historically, Motorcycle Holdings' own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 17.38 to 53.10 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 33.26 vs. the industry median of 10.27, Motorcycle Holdings has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Vehicles & Parts company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Vehicles & Parts companies is 10.27, based on 989 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Motorcycle Holdings's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 30.35% is 195.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Motorcycle Holdings and its competitors. For the Vehicles & Parts industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.27 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Motorcycle Holdings's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 30.35%, which is near median its own 10-year median of 33.26. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Motorcycle Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Motorcycle Holdings (ASX:MTO) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$2.66, compared to a current price of A$2.61 — trading 1.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 30.35%, which is near median its 10-year median of 33.26 and 195.5% above the Vehicles & Parts industry median of 10.27. Motorcycle Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 82/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Motorcycle Holdings (ASX:MTO), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 30.35% as of Jun. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Motorcycle Holdings (ASX:MTO) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Motorcycle Holdings stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of A$2.61 is trading 1.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$2.66.
GuruFocus considers Motorcycle Holdings to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for ASX:MTO:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 30.35% (near median its 10-year median of 33.26)
GF Value™: A$2.66 vs. price of A$2.61 (1.9% below fair value)
Industry Position: 195.5% above the Vehicles & Parts median (#39 of 989)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:MTO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Motorcycle Holdings Ltd is a motorcycle dealer in Australia. It has two reporting segments. First, Motorcycle Retailing, which offers a range of motorcycle products and services to the general public in Australia, including the sale of new and used motorcycles, parts, servicing, accessories, and MPPs. The segment also facilitates insurance and financing for motorcycle purchases through third-party sources. Second, the Motorcycle and Accessories Wholesaling segment, which imports and distributes a range of motorcycles, ATVs, scooters, and motorcycle parts and accessories to wholesale customers in Australia and New Zealand, including the Group's own retail outlets.
82GF Score
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