Shine Resunga Development Bank (XNEP:SHINE) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.06% (As of Jul. 01, 2026)


XNEP:SHINE Shine Resunga Development Bank Ltd XNEP:SHINE
100 GF Score
Price NPR396.40
GF Value NPR466.92
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Shine Resunga Development Bank Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Shine Resunga Development Bank XNEP:SHINE -0.90% 100 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06% as of Jul. 01, 2026. GuruFocus rates XNEP:SHINE with a GF Score™ of 100/100 and a GF Value™ of NPR466.92 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Shine Resunga Development Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Shine Resunga Development Bank  (XNEP:SHINE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Shine Resunga Development Bank Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


Shine Resunga Development Bank Probability of Financial Distress (%) Competitor Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Shine Resunga Development Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shine Resunga Development Bank Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Shine Resunga Development Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shine Resunga Development Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


XNEP:SHINE
100GF Score
Shine Resunga Development Bank Ltd XNEP:SHINE
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Shine Resunga Development Bank Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.50

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.06% mean?
Shine Resunga Development Bank (XNEP:SHINE) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.06% as of Jul. 01, 2026.
Is Shine Resunga Development Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Shine Resunga Development Bank's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%. Overall, Shine Resunga Development Bank has a GF Score™ of 100/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Shine Resunga Development Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to competitors?
Shine Resunga Development Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.06% can be compared against companies in the Banks industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Banks company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Banks industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Shine Resunga Development Bank's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Shine Resunga Development Bank stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shine Resunga Development Bank (XNEP:SHINE) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is NPR466.92, compared to a current price of NPR396.40 — trading 15.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%. Shine Resunga Development Bank's overall GF Score™ is 100/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Shine Resunga Development Bank (XNEP:SHINE), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06% as of Jul. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Shine Resunga Development Bank (XNEP:SHINE) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shine Resunga Development Bank stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of NPR396.40 is trading 15.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of NPR466.92. GuruFocus considers Shine Resunga Development Bank to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for XNEP:SHINE:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.06%
  • GF Value™: NPR466.92 vs. price of NPR396.40 (15.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 100/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XNEP:SHINE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Shine Resunga Development Bank Business Description

Address Butwal Sub-Metropolitan City, Ward No 11, Kalikanagar, Rupandehi, NPL, 32907
Shine Resunga Development Bank Ltd is a regional development bank in Nepal. The company offers products and services including saving deposits, fixed deposits, call current, business loans, consumer loans, and others. The maximum revenue from Nepal itself is from Lumbini Province.
100GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XNEP:SHINE

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NPR396.40
Price
NPR466.92
GF Value