Provident Financial Services (FRA:PQ3) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €2.28 (As of Mar. 2026)

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FRA:PQ3 Provident Financial Services Inc FRA:PQ3
59 GF Score
Price €21.40
GF Value €15.43
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Provident Financial Services Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Provident Financial Services FRA:PQ3 +5.94% 59 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €2.28 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:PQ3 with a GF Score™ of 59/100 and a GF Value™ of €15.43 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Provident Financial Services's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was €0.536. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €2.28 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Provident Financial Services's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 6.30% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 6.40% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 6.70% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 6.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Provident Financial Services was 9.30% per year. The lowest was -2.50% per year. And the median was 6.00% per year.

As of today (2026-07-20), Provident Financial Services's current stock price is €21.40. Provident Financial Services's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was €2.28. Provident Financial Services's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 9.39.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Provident Financial Services was 19.31. The lowest was 5.40. And the median was 10.58.


Provident Financial Services  (FRA:PQ3) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Provident Financial Services's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=21.40/2.28
=9.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Provident Financial Services was 19.31. The lowest was 5.40. And the median was 10.58.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Provident Financial Services Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Provident Financial Services Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Provident Financial Services's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Provident Financial Services Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Provident Financial Services Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.81 2.06 2.06 2.37 2.28

Provident Financial Services Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.33 2.30 2.28 2.28 2.28

FRA:PQ3 vs BANC, BOH, SBCF: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Provident Financial Services's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Provident Financial Services Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Provident Financial Services's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Provident Financial Services's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


FRA:PQ3
59GF Score
Provident Financial Services Inc FRA:PQ3
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Provident Financial Services Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Provident Financial Services's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.536/330.2130*330.2130
=0.536

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Provident Financial Services Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.399 241.018 0.547
201609 0.364 241.428 0.498
201612 0.614 241.432 0.840
201703 0.346 243.801 0.469
201706 0.211 244.955 0.284
201709 0.645 246.819 0.863
201712 0.328 246.524 0.439
201803 0.396 249.554 0.524
201806 0.531 251.989 0.696
201809 0.772 252.439 1.010
201812 0.293 251.233 0.385
201903 0.420 254.202 0.546
201906 0.541 256.143 0.697
201909 0.496 256.759 0.638
201912 0.366 256.974 0.470
202003 0.445 258.115 0.569
202006 0.392 257.797 0.502
202009 -0.262 260.280 -0.332
202012 0.564 260.474 0.715
202103 0.379 264.877 0.472
202106 0.520 271.696 0.632
202109 0.348 274.310 0.419
202112 0.336 278.802 0.398
202203 0.503 287.504 0.578
202206 0.680 296.311 0.758
202209 0.739 296.808 0.822
202212 0.519 296.797 0.577
202303 0.718 301.836 0.786
202306 0.308 305.109 0.333
202309 0.485 307.789 0.520
202312 0.547 306.746 0.589
202403 0.500 312.332 0.529
202406 0.681 314.175 0.716
202409 0.471 315.301 0.493
202412 1.765 315.605 1.847
202503 0.620 319.799 0.640
202506 1.213 322.561 1.242
202509 0.631 324.800 0.642
202512 0.419 324.054 0.427
202603 0.536 330.213 0.536

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €2.28 mean?
Provident Financial Services (FRA:PQ3) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €2.28 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Provident Financial Services and its competitors.
Is Provident Financial Services' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Provident Financial Services' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €2.28. Overall, Provident Financial Services has a GF Score™ of 59/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Provident Financial Services' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to BANC and BOH?
Provident Financial Services' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €2.28 can be compared against companies in the Banks industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Banks company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Banks industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Provident Financial Services and its competitors. Provident Financial Services's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €2.28. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Provident Financial Services stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Provident Financial Services (FRA:PQ3) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €15.43, compared to a current price of €21.40 — trading 38.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €2.28. Provident Financial Services' overall GF Score™ is 59/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Provident Financial Services (FRA:PQ3), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €2.28 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Provident Financial Services (FRA:PQ3) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Provident Financial Services stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €21.40 is trading 38.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of €15.43. GuruFocus considers Provident Financial Services to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:PQ3:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €2.28
  • GF Value™: €15.43 vs. price of €21.40 (38.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 59/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:PQ3 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Provident Financial Services Business Description

Other Exchanges PFS:USA
Address 239 Washington Street, Jersey, NJ, USA, 07302
Provident Financial Services Inc is the holding company for The Provident Bank, a community-oriented bank. The company's operations are solely in the financial services industry and include providing traditional banking and other financial services to its customers. The company operates in the geographical regions of northern and central New Jersey, Queens and Nassau Counties in New York and eastern Pennsylvania. The company has a single reporting segment for financial reporting purposes. The majority of the revenue-generating activities that are components of non-interest income. These revenue streams can generally be classified into three broad categories: wealth management revenue, insurance agency income, and banking service charges and other fees.
59GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:PQ3

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€21.40
Price
€15.43
GF Value