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Radian Group (FRA:RAG) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : €2.20 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Radian Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Radian Group's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was €0.292. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €2.20 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Radian Group's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 47.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Radian Group was 44.00% per year. The lowest was -83.00% per year. And the median was -2.30% per year.

As of today (2024-05-10), Radian Group's current stock price is €28.60. Radian Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was €2.20. Radian Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 13.00.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Radian Group was 120.60. The lowest was 12.04. And the median was 21.34.


Radian Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Radian Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Radian Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Radian Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.54 -0.38 0.53 1.28 2.06

Radian Group Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.44 1.60 1.93 2.06 2.20

Competitive Comparison of Radian Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Insurance - Specialty subindustry, Radian Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Radian Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Radian Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Radian Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Radian Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Radian Group's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=0.292/129.4194*129.4194
=0.292

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 129.4194.

Radian Group Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -0.409 100.560 -0.526
201409 0.110 100.428 0.142
201412 0.231 99.070 0.302
201503 -0.014 99.621 -0.018
201506 -0.273 100.684 -0.351
201509 0.185 100.392 0.238
201512 0.050 99.792 0.065
201603 0.121 100.470 0.156
201606 0.400 101.688 0.509
201609 0.493 101.861 0.626
201612 0.366 101.863 0.465
201703 0.322 102.862 0.405
201706 0.483 103.349 0.605
201709 0.001 104.136 0.001
201712 0.530 104.011 0.659
201803 0.420 105.290 0.516
201806 0.687 106.317 0.836
201809 0.720 106.507 0.875
201812 0.727 105.998 0.888
201903 0.856 107.251 1.033
201906 0.463 108.070 0.554
201909 0.710 108.329 0.848
201912 0.777 108.420 0.927
202003 0.676 108.902 0.803
202006 0.661 108.767 0.787
202009 0.828 109.815 0.976
202012 0.664 109.897 0.782
202103 0.650 111.754 0.753
202106 0.511 114.631 0.577
202109 0.559 115.734 0.625
202112 0.728 117.630 0.801
202203 0.571 121.301 0.609
202206 0.306 125.017 0.317
202209 0.617 125.227 0.638
202212 0.587 125.222 0.607
202303 0.648 127.348 0.659
202306 0.386 128.729 0.388
202309 0.415 129.860 0.414
202312 1.528 129.419 1.528
202403 0.292 129.419 0.292

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Radian Group  (FRA:RAG) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Radian Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=28.60/2.2
=13.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Radian Group was 120.60. The lowest was 12.04. And the median was 21.34.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Radian Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Radian Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Radian Group (FRA:RAG) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
550 East Swedesford Road, Suite 350, Wayne, PA, USA, 19087
Radian Group Inc provides mortgage insurance and services to the real estate and mortgage finance industries. Radian's mortgage insurance provides coverage to lending institutions throughout the United States. Its services include analytics and consulting for buyers and sellers of, and investors in, mortgage- and real estate-related loans and securities and other asset-backed securities. Insurance premiums account for more than three fourths of the company's revenue. Services revenue and investment income are the other principal sources of revenue. It operates in two segments: Mortgage and homegenius. The Mortgage segment earns the majority of revenue.

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