MSBI (Midland States Bancorp) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $12.55 (As of Mar. 2026)


MSBI Midland States Bancorp Inc MSBI
58 GF Score
Price $30.44
GF Value $19.11
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Midland States Bancorp Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Midland States Bancorp MSBI +0.30% 58 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $12.55 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MSBI with a GF Score™ of 58/100 and a GF Value™ of $19.11 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Midland States Bancorp's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $0.767. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $12.55 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Midland States Bancorp's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

As of today (2026-07-06), Midland States Bancorp's current stock price is $30.435. Midland States Bancorp's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $12.55. Midland States Bancorp's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 2.43.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Midland States Bancorp was 2.53. The lowest was 1.23. And the median was 1.95.


Midland States Bancorp  (NAS:MSBI) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Midland States Bancorp's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=30.435/12.55
=2.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Midland States Bancorp was 2.53. The lowest was 1.23. And the median was 1.95.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Midland States Bancorp Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Midland States Bancorp Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Midland States Bancorp's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Midland States Bancorp Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Midland States Bancorp Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 11.04 11.55 11.80

Midland States Bancorp Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.52 11.91 11.86 11.80 12.55

MSBI vs AMBZ, NPB, BHB: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Midland States Bancorp's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Midland States Bancorp Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Midland States Bancorp's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Midland States Bancorp's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MSBI
58GF Score
Midland States Bancorp Inc MSBI
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Midland States Bancorp Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Midland States Bancorp's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.767/330.2130*330.2130
=0.767

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Midland States Bancorp Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 1.580 241.018 2.165
201609 3.517 241.428 4.810
201612 -0.432 241.432 -0.591
201703 2.829 243.801 3.832
201706 0.137 244.955 0.185
201709 0.444 246.819 0.594
201712 0.349 246.524 0.467
201803 1.710 249.554 2.263
201806 -0.147 251.989 -0.193
201809 1.118 252.439 1.462
201812 1.229 251.233 1.615
201903 1.186 254.202 1.541
201906 0.890 256.143 1.147
201909 15.867 256.759 20.406
201912 3.677 256.974 4.725
202003 2.194 258.115 2.807
202006 6.914 257.797 8.856
202009 8.224 260.280 10.434
202012 4.092 260.474 5.188
202103 6.989 264.877 8.713
202106 2.551 271.696 3.100
202109 3.702 274.310 4.456
202112 1.453 278.802 1.721
202203 1.730 287.504 1.987
202206 5.138 296.311 5.726
202209 2.253 296.808 2.507
202212 3.486 296.797 3.878
202303 0.588 301.836 0.643
202306 1.932 305.109 2.091
202309 0.187 307.789 0.201
202312 3.867 306.746 4.163
202403 1.953 312.332 2.065
202406 1.375 314.175 1.445
202409 2.048 315.301 2.145
202412 2.427 315.605 2.539
202503 1.049 319.799 1.083
202506 1.222 322.561 1.251
202509 3.595 324.800 3.655
202512 -0.357 324.054 -0.364
202603 0.767 330.213 0.767

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $12.55 mean?
Midland States Bancorp (MSBI) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $12.55 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Midland States Bancorp and its competitors.
Is Midland States Bancorp's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Midland States Bancorp's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $12.55. Overall, Midland States Bancorp has a GF Score™ of 58/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Midland States Bancorp's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to AMBZ and NPB?
Midland States Bancorp's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $12.55 can be compared against companies in the Banks industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Banks company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Banks industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Midland States Bancorp and its competitors. Midland States Bancorp's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $12.55. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Midland States Bancorp stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Midland States Bancorp (MSBI) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $19.11, compared to a current price of $30.44 — trading 59.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $12.55. Midland States Bancorp's overall GF Score™ is 58/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Midland States Bancorp (MSBI), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $12.55 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Midland States Bancorp (MSBI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Midland States Bancorp stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $30.44 is trading 59.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $19.11. GuruFocus considers Midland States Bancorp to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MSBI:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $12.55
  • GF Value™: $19.11 vs. price of $30.44 (59.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 58/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MSBI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Midland States Bancorp Business Description

Address 1201 Network Centre Drive, Effingham, IL, USA, 62401
Midland States Bancorp Inc is a diversified financial holding company. The company provides a full range of commercial and consumer banking products and services, business equipment financing, merchant credit card services, trust and investment management, and insurance and financial planning services. The Banking segment, which generates the majority of the revenue, provides financial products and services to consumers and businesses, including commercial, commercial real estate, mortgage, and other consumer loan products; commercial equipment financing, etc. The Wealth Management segment consists of trust and fiduciary services, brokerage, and retirement planning services. The Corporate segment includes the holding company's financing and investment activities, administrative expenses.
58GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MSBI

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$30.44
Price
$19.11
GF Value