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FACO (First Acceptance) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $7.66 (As of Sep24)


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What is First Acceptance Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep24, First Acceptance's earnings power value is $7.66. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 57.47

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


First Acceptance Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for First Acceptance's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

First Acceptance Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

First Acceptance Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.95 3.31 2.92 2.23 6.12

First Acceptance Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.53 6.12 6.85 7.34 7.66

Competitive Comparison of First Acceptance's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Insurance - Specialty subindustry, First Acceptance's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Acceptance's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, First Acceptance's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Acceptance's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



First Acceptance Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

First Acceptance's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 369.0
DDA 2.3
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 0.1
Tax Rate % 24.28
Maintenance Capex 1.8
Cash and Cash Equivalents 362.3
Short-Term Debt 0.0
Long-Term Debt 45.6
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 39.1

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $369.0 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0.1,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 369.0 * 0.00% +0.1 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 24.28%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 24.28% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 2.3 * 0.5 * 24.28% = $0.278430227 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0.278430227 = $0.278430227 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
First Acceptance's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $1.8 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. First Acceptance's current cash and cash equivalent = $362.3 Mil.
First Acceptance's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 45.6 + 0.0 = $45.553 Mil.
First Acceptance's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 39.1 Mil.

First Acceptance's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.278430227 - 1.8)/ 9%+362.3-45.553 )/39.1
=7.66

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 7.6643547565894-3.26 )/7.6643547565894
= 57.47%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


First Acceptance  (OTCPK:FACO) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


First Acceptance Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of First Acceptance's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


First Acceptance Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3813 Green Hills Village Drive, Nashville, TN, USA, 37215
First Acceptance Corp is engaged in the financial services sector. It is principally a retailer, servicer, and underwriter of non-standard personal automobile insurance. The company's operations generate revenue from selling non-standard personal automobile insurance products and related products in the United States. Its suite of products comprises auto insurance, renters, motorcycle, roadside assistance, and hospital insurance. the company also operates a real estate and corporate segment, which consists of the activities related to the disposition of foreclosed real estate held for sale, interest expenses associated with all debt, and other general corporate overhead expenses.
Executives
Rhodes R Bobbitt director 4500 ROLAND, #905, DALLAS TX 75219
Kenneth D Russell director 200 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 1350, DALLAS TX 75201
Tom C Nichols director 4500 MERCANTILE PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 300, FORT WORTH TX 76137
Brent J Gay officer: Chief Financial Officer 3813 GREEN HILLS VILLAGE DRIVE, NASHVILLE TN 37215
Olson Lyndon L Jr director 3812 GREENLEAF DRIVE, WACO TX 76710
Jeremy B Ford director
Mark A Kelly officer: Interim CEO & President 5722 WEST HANOVER, DALLAS TX 75209
Joseph S. Borbely officer: President 1572 VANDAGRIFF WAY, CORONA CA 92883
John R Barnett officer: Sr. Vice President of Finance 111 CONGRESSIONAL BLVD, STE 500, CARMEL IN 46032
Daniel L. Walker officer: Sr. VP of Operations 3322 WEST END AVENUE, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Harrison Thomas Marshall Jr director, 10 percent owner, officer: Exec. VP & Secretary 3813 GREEN HILLS VILLAGE DRIVE, NASHVILLE TN 37215
Gerald J Ford director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman 200 CRESCENT CT STE 1350, DALLAS TX 75201
Keith E. Bornemann officer: Corporate Controller 3322 WEST END AVENUE, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Shipp William A Jr director 9015 ENGLLISH WOOD COURT, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Kevin P Cohn officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer 4400 POST OAK PARKWAY, STE 1100, HOUSTON TX 77027