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CHMG (Chemung Financial) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $99.06 (As of May. 31, 2025)


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What is Chemung Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2025-05-31), Chemung Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $99.06. The stock price of Chemung Financial is $47.30. Therefore, Chemung Financial's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chemung Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CHMG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.37   Med: 0.52   Max: 0.82
Current: 0.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Chemung Financial was 0.82. The lowest was 0.37. And the median was 0.52.

CHMG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
54.28% of 1308 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.5 vs CHMG: 0.48

Chemung Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Chemung Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Chemung Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Chemung Financial Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 79.52 93.27 88.31 95.32 97.43

Chemung Financial Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 94.66 94.43 99.10 97.43 99.06

Competitive Comparison of Chemung Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Chemung Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chemung Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Chemung Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chemung Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


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Chemung Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Chemung Financial's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $29.84.

Chemung Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.7849180867139*29.83824+228.306*0.8)/4.791
=99.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Chemung Financial  (NAS:CHMG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Chemung Financial's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=47.30/99.062728919163
=0.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Chemung Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Chemung Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Chemung Financial Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
One Chemung Canal Plaza, PO Box 1522, Elmira, NY, USA, 14901
Chemung Financial Corp is a bank holding firm. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides various financial services, including demand, savings, and time deposits, commercial, residential, and consumer loans, letters of credit, wealth management services, employee benefit plans, insurance products, mutual funds, and brokerage services, among others. The company's reportable segments are Core Banking, Wealth Management (WMG) services, and Holding company and CFS. Maximum revenue is generated from the Core Banking segment, which derives revenue by attracting deposits from the general public and using such funds to originate different types of loans, and to invest in securities. The Wealth Management (WMG) services segment provides trust and investment advisory services to clients.
Executives
Meade Joseph F Iv director ONE CHEMUNG CANAL PLAZA, PO BOX 1522, ELMIRA NY 14902-1522
Loren D Cole officer: Executive Vice President ONE CHEMUNG CANAL PLAZA, ELMIRA NY 14901
Tranter G. Thomas Jr. director ONE CHEMUNG CANAL PLAZA, ELMIRA NY 14901
Thomas W Wirth officer: Senior Vice President ONE CHEMUNG CANAL PLAZA, P.O. BOX 1522, ELMIRA NY 14902-1522
Daniel D Fariello officer: President, Capital Bank Div. ONE CHEMUNG CANAL PLAZA, PO BOX 1522, ELMIRA NY 14902-1522
Archibold Raimundo C. Jr director ONE CHEMUNG CANAL PLAZA, PO BOX 1522, ELMIRA NY 14902-1522
Mckim Dale M. Iii officer: EVP, CFO & Treasurer ONE CHEMUNG CANAL PLAZA, PO BOX 1522, ELMIRA NY 14902-1522
Jeffrey P. Kenefick officer: Regional President ONE CHEMUNG CANAL PLAZA, PO BOX 1522, ELMIRA NY 14902-1522
Thomas R. Tyrrell director ONE CHEMUNG CANAL PLAZA, ELMIRA NY 14901
John J Stempin officer: Controller ONE CHEMUNG CANAL PLAZA, PO BOX 1522, ELMIRA NY 14902-1522
Ronald M Bentley officer: President & COO ONE CHEMUNG CANAL PLAZA, ELMIRA NY 14901
Koen G. Long officer: Controller ONE CHEMUNG CANAL PLAZA, PO BOX 1522, ELMIRA NY 14902-1522
Denise V Gonick director ONE CHEMUNG CANAL PLAZA, PO BOX 1522, ELMIRA NY 14902-1522
Jeffrey B Streeter director ONE CHEMUNG CANAL PLAZA, PO BOX 1522, ELMIRA NY 14902-1522
Robert H Dalrymple director, 10 percent owner ONE CHEMUNG CANAL PLAZA, PO BOX 1522, ELMIRA NY 14902-1522