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PennyMac Financial Services (PennyMac Financial Services) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-1.80 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is PennyMac Financial Services Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-30), PennyMac Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-1.80. The stock price of PennyMac Financial Services is $87.40. Therefore, PennyMac Financial Services's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for PennyMac Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of PennyMac Financial Services was 1.19. The lowest was 1.19. And the median was 1.19.

PFSI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Banks industry.
Industry Median: 0.44
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

PennyMac Financial Services Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for PennyMac Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PennyMac Financial Services Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

PennyMac Financial Services Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -82.77 -229.53 -192.55 47.49 -1.80

PennyMac Financial Services Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -89.78 -9.71 -9.29 -1.80 -

Competitive Comparison of PennyMac Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Mortgage Finance subindustry, PennyMac Financial Services's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PennyMac Financial Services's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, PennyMac Financial Services's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PennyMac Financial Services's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



PennyMac Financial Services Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get PennyMac Financial Services's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-262.31.

PennyMac Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5858149152102*-262.31056+3570.383*0.8)/53.100
=6.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PennyMac Financial Services  (NYSE:PFSI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

PennyMac Financial Services's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=87.40/6.4377763000913
=13.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PennyMac Financial Services Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of PennyMac Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


PennyMac Financial Services (PennyMac Financial Services) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3043 Townsgate Road, Suite 200, Westlake Village, CA, USA, 91361
PennyMac Financial Services Inc is a United States-based financial services company primarily engaged in mortgage lending. The company operates through three segments: production, servicing, and investment management. The company's production and servicing segment together form the mortgage banking business that includes mortgage loan origination, acquisition, and sale activities; while the investment management segment includes investment manager's activities, such as performing diligence, and managing acquired assets. The company generates the majority of revenue from its mortgage banking business.
Executives
David Spector director, officer: Chairman & CEO C/O PENNYMAC, 6101 CONDOR DRIVE, UPPER LEVEL, MOORPARK CA 93021
Joseph F Mazzella director C/O HIGHFIELDS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
William Herbert Chang officer: Chief Capital Markets Officer PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES, INC., 3043 TOWNSGATE ROAD, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361
Derek Stark officer: Chief Legal Officer 4500 PARK GRANADA, CALABASAS CA 91302
Daniel Stanley Perotti officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O PENNYMAC, 6101 CONDOR DRIVE, MOORPARK CA 93021
Doug Jones officer: Chief Mtge Bnkg Ofcr C/O PENNYMAC, 6101 CONDOR DRIVE, UPPER LEVEL, MOORPARK CA 93021
James Follette officer: Chief Mort Fulfillment Off. PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES, INC., 3043 TOWNSGATE ROAD, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361
Steven Richard Bailey officer: Chief Servicing Officer C/O PENNYMAC, 6101 CONDOR DRIVE, MOORPARK CA 93021
Gregory L Hendry officer: MD, Chief Accounting Officer 3300 LAKE AVENUE, ALTADENA CA 91001
Patrick Kinsella director C/O PENNYMAC, 6101 CONDOR DRIVE, MOORPARK CA 93021
Anne Mccallion director C/O PENNYMAC, 6101 CONDOR DRIVE, UPPER LEVEL, MOORPARK CA 93021
Donald J. White officer: Chief Risk Officer PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES, INC., 3043 TOWNSGATE ROAD, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361
James K Hunt director THL CREDIT GROUP, 100 FEDERAL STREET, 35TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Vandad Fartaj officer: Chief Investment Officer C/O PENNYMAC, 6101 CONDOR DRIVE, UPPER LEVEL, MOORPARK CA 93021
Farhad Nanji director C/O HIGHFIELDS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116

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