PFSI (PennyMac Financial Services) Beneish M-Score: -1.45 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


PFSI PennyMac Financial Services Inc PFSI
71 GF Score
Price $83.35
GF Value $137.55
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is PennyMac Financial Services Beneish M-Score?

PennyMac Financial Services PFSI +3.88% 71 Beneish M-Score is -1.45 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates PFSI with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of $137.55 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,396 Banks companies, PennyMac Financial Services ranks worse than 96.42% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.45 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for PennyMac Financial Services's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

PFSI' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.85   Med: -1.69   Max: 16.76
Current: -1.45

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PennyMac Financial Services was 16.76. The lowest was -4.85. And the median was -1.69.


PennyMac Financial Services Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PennyMac Financial Services's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PennyMac Financial Services Beneish M-Score Chart

PennyMac Financial Services Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.64 -4.20 -1.82 -1.09 -1.87

PennyMac Financial Services Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.70 -1.99 -1.93 -1.87 -1.45

PFSI vs FMCC, WD, UWMC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Mortgage Finance subindustry, PennyMac Financial Services's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PennyMac Financial Services Beneish M-Score vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, PennyMac Financial Services's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PennyMac Financial Services's Beneish M-Score falls into.


PFSI
71GF Score
PennyMac Financial Services Inc PFSI
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

PennyMac Financial Services Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PennyMac Financial Services for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0858+0.528 * 0.9126+0.404 * 0.833+0.892 * 1.4087+0.115 * 1.2739
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9192+4.679 * 0.142989-0.327 * 1.032
=-1.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $18,712 Mil.
Revenue was 966.736 + 2214.229 + 882.813 + 931.582 = $4,995 Mil.
Gross Profit was 463.169 + 1713.8 + 413.057 + 483.437 = $3,073 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $20,495 Mil.
Total Assets was $31,944 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $77 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $70 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $363 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $11,964 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $15,548 Mil.
Net Income was 82.322 + 106.831 + 181.503 + 136.463 = $507 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + -0.196 + -0.42 = $-1 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1341.973 + -1889.253 + -697.373 + -131.315 = $-4,060 Mil.
Total Receivables was $12,233 Mil.
Revenue was 1069.756 + 1131.658 + 629.363 + 715.353 = $3,546 Mil.
Gross Profit was 686.73 + 713.568 + 238.994 + 351.928 = $1,991 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $13,625 Mil.
Total Assets was $23,873 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $45 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $69 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $281 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $8,709 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $11,214 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(18711.853 / 4995.36) / (12233.207 / 3546.13)
=3.745847 / 3.449734
=1.0858

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1991.22 / 3546.13) / (3073.463 / 4995.36)
=0.561519 / 0.615264
=0.9126

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (20494.555 + 76.929) / 31943.998) / (1 - (13624.602 + 45.099) / 23872.876)
=0.356014 / 0.427396
=0.833

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4995.36 / 3546.13
=1.4087

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(69.361 / (69.361 + 45.099)) / (69.791 / (69.791 + 76.929))
=0.605985 / 0.475675
=1.2739

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(363.461 / 4995.36) / (280.693 / 3546.13)
=0.07276 / 0.079155
=0.9192

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((15547.841 + 11963.941) / 31943.998) / ((11214.229 + 8708.824) / 23872.876)
=0.86125 / 0.834548
=1.032

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(507.119 - -0.616 - -4059.914) / 31943.998
=0.142989

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PennyMac Financial Services has a M-score of -1.45 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.45 mean?
PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.45 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PennyMac Financial Services and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, PennyMac Financial Services ranks #1346 out of 1396 companies in the Banks industry, placing it in the top 96.4%.
Is PennyMac Financial Services' Beneish M-Score too high?
PennyMac Financial Services' current Beneish M-Score is -1.45. Based on the distribution chart, PennyMac Financial Services ranks #1346 out of 1396 companies in the Banks industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, PennyMac Financial Services has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PennyMac Financial Services' Beneish M-Score compare to FMCC and WD?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, PennyMac Financial Services ranks #1346 out of 1396 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places PennyMac Financial Services in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Banks company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Banks industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PennyMac Financial Services and its competitors. PennyMac Financial Services's current Beneish M-Score is -1.45. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PennyMac Financial Services stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $137.55, compared to a current price of $83.35 — trading 39.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.45. PennyMac Financial Services' overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.45 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PennyMac Financial Services stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $83.35 is trading 39.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of $137.55. GuruFocus considers PennyMac Financial Services to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for PFSI:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.45
  • GF Value™: $137.55 vs. price of $83.35 (39.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the PFSI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PennyMac Financial Services Business Description

Address 3043 Townsgate Road, Suite 200, Westlake Village, CA, USA, 91361
PennyMac Financial Services Inc is a specialty financial services firm with a comprehensive mortgage platform mainly focused on the production and servicing of U.S. residential mortgage loans. The firm is also engaged in managing investments related to the U.S. mortgage market and provides products and services that leverage technologies to support customers. The company operates through two reportable operating segments: production and servicing. The production segment performs loan origination, acquisition, and sale activities, while the servicing segment performs servicing and subservicing of loans, early buyout transactions, and servicing of loans sourced and managed for PMT. The majority of revenue comes from the production segment.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PFSI

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$83.35
Price
$137.55
GF Value