HRI (Herc Holdings) Beneish M-Score: -2.19 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


HRI Herc Holdings Inc HRI
86 GF Score
Price $153.00
GF Value $168.69
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Herc Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Herc Holdings HRI +6.82% 86 Beneish M-Score is -2.19 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates HRI with a GF Score™ of 86/100 and a GF Value™ of $168.69 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,020 Business Services companies, Herc Holdings ranks worse than 73.04% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.19 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Herc Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HRI' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.05   Med: -2.81   Max: -2.09
Current: -2.19

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Herc Holdings was -2.09. The lowest was -5.05. And the median was -2.81.


Herc Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Herc Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Herc Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Herc Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.76 -2.69 -2.73 -3.01 -2.17

Herc Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.03 -2.09 -2.19 -2.17 -2.19

HRI vs WSC, EQPT, GATX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Herc Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Herc Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Herc Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Herc Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HRI
86GF Score
Herc Holdings Inc HRI
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Herc Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Herc Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0219+0.528 * 1.058+0.404 * 1.7454+0.892 * 1.3425+0.115 * 1.0131
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9284+4.679 * -0.078295-0.327 * 1.0591
=-2.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $760 Mil.
Revenue was 1139 + 1209 + 1305 + 953 = $4,606 Mil.
Gross Profit was 326 + 403 + 446 + 283 = $1,458 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $919 Mil.
Total Assets was $13,564 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $8,113 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,190 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $592 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $628 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $9,554 Mil.
Net Income was -24 + 24 + 30 + -35 = $-5 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -2 + -23 + -38 + -71 = $-134 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 277 + 315 + 358 + 241 = $1,191 Mil.
Total Receivables was $554 Mil.
Revenue was 861 + 757 + 965 + 848 = $3,431 Mil.
Gross Profit was 278 + 180 + 385 + 306 = $1,149 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $709 Mil.
Total Assets was $7,705 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $5,521 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $822 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $475 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $474 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,987 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(760 / 4606) / (554 / 3431)
=0.165002 / 0.161469
=1.0219

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1149 / 3431) / (1458 / 4606)
=0.334888 / 0.316544
=1.058

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (919 + 8113) / 13564) / (1 - (709 + 5521) / 7705)
=0.33412 / 0.191434
=1.7454

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4606 / 3431
=1.3425

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(822 / (822 + 5521)) / (1190 / (1190 + 8113))
=0.129592 / 0.127916
=1.0131

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(592 / 4606) / (475 / 3431)
=0.128528 / 0.138444
=0.9284

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9554 + 628) / 13564) / ((4987 + 474) / 7705)
=0.750664 / 0.708761
=1.0591

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-5 - -134 - 1191) / 13564
=-0.078295

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Herc Holdings has a M-score of -2.19 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.19 mean?
Herc Holdings (HRI) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.19 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Herc Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Herc Holdings ranks #745 out of 1020 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 73%.
Is Herc Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Herc Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.19. Based on the distribution chart, Herc Holdings ranks #745 out of 1020 companies in the Business Services industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Herc Holdings has a GF Score™ of 86/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Herc Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to WSC and EQPT?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, Herc Holdings ranks #745 out of 1020 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Herc Holdings in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Business Services company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Business Services industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Herc Holdings and its competitors. Herc Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.19. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Herc Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Herc Holdings (HRI) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $168.69, compared to a current price of $153.00 — trading 9.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.19. Herc Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 86/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Herc Holdings (HRI), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.19 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Herc Holdings (HRI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Herc Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $153.00 is trading 9.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of $168.69. GuruFocus considers Herc Holdings to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for HRI:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.19
  • GF Value™: $168.69 vs. price of $153.00 (9.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 86/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HRI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Herc Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges 0J4L:UKH9B1:Germany
Address 27500 Riverview Center Boulevard, Bonita Springs, FL, USA, 34134
Herc Holdings is an equipment rental company that was spun out of Hertz Global in 2016. It is currently the third-largest player in North America, after United Rentals and Sunbelt Rentals, with an approximate 6% market share pro forma for its 2025 acquisition of H&E Equipment Services. It serves a similar mix of companies to its peers (industrial, commercial, and residential construction) from its 450 locations targeting the top 100 metropolitan markets in the US. Herc's rental fleet of approximately $7 billion is also similar in composition to its peer group in terms of equipment offered. The company is also pursuing diversification by bundling and increasing specialty solutions for its customer base. Herc's portfolio skews toward local customers versus national accounts (60%/40%).
86GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HRI

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$153.00
Price
$168.69
GF Value