Herc HoldingsHRI +2.80%86 Peter Lynch Fair Value is $58.53 as of Jul. 12, 2026, which is 6551% above its 10-year median of 0.88. GuruFocus rates HRI with a GF Score™ of 86/100 and a GF Value™ of $168.89 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 364 Business Services companies, Herc Holdings ranks worse than 87.09% on this metric.
Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.
Here, as of today, Herc Holdings's PEG is 1. Herc Holdings's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 14.92.
Herc Holdings's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was $3.92. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $58.53.
As of today (2026-07-12), Herc Holdings's share price is $148.91. Herc Holdings's Peter Lynch fair value is $58.53. Therefore, Herc Holdings's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 2.54.
The historical rank and industry rank for Herc Holdings's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:
HRI'
s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.49 Med: 0.88 Max: 4.26
Current: 2.54
During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Herc Holdings was 4.26. The lowest was 0.49. And the median was 0.88.
HRI's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than 87.09% of 364
companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 1
vs HRI: 2.54
Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.
Herc Holdings (NYSE:HRI) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation
Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.
Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.
Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 14.92 instead of 15 in this case.
Herc Holdings's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as
Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value
=
Share Price
/
Peter Lynch Fair Value
=
148.91
/
58.53
=
2.54
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Herc Holdings Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms
Herc Holdings Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Herc Holdings's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
HRI vs EQPT, WSC, CAR: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison
For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Herc Holdings's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Herc Holdings Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Business Services Industry
For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Herc Holdings's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Herc Holdings's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.
Herc Holdings's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $3.92.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.
If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.
If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.
Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $58.53 mean?
Herc Holdings (HRI) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $58.53 as of Jul. 12, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Herc Holdings and its competitors. This is 6551% above median its historical median of 0.88. Over the past decade, Herc Holdings' Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.49 to 4.26. According to the industry distribution chart, Herc Holdings ranks #317 out of 364 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 87.1%.
Is Herc Holdings' Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
Herc Holdings' current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $58.53 is 6551% above median its 10-year median of 0.88. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.49 to a high of 4.26. The Business Services industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.00. Herc Holdings' value of $58.53 is 5753% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Herc Holdings ranks #317 out of 364 companies in the Business Services industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Herc Holdings has a GF Score™ of 86/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Herc Holdings' Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to EQPT and WSC?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, Herc Holdings ranks #317 out of 364 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This places Herc Holdings in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.00. Herc Holdings' value of $58.53 is 5753% above this benchmark. Historically, Herc Holdings' own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.49 to 4.26 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.88 vs. the industry median of 1.00, Herc Holdings has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Business Services company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Business Services companies is 1.00, based on 364 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Herc Holdings's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $58.53 is 5753% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Herc Holdings and its competitors. For the Business Services industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.00 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Herc Holdings's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $58.53, which is 6551% above median its own 10-year median of 0.88. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Herc Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Herc Holdings (HRI) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $168.89, compared to a current price of $148.91 — trading 11.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $58.53, which is 6551% above median its 10-year median of 0.88 and 5753% above the Business Services industry median of 1.00. Herc Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 86/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Herc Holdings (HRI), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $58.53 as of Jul. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Herc Holdings (HRI) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Herc Holdings stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $148.91 is trading 11.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of $168.89.
GuruFocus considers Herc Holdings to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for HRI:
Peter Lynch Fair Value: $58.53 (6551% above median its 10-year median of 0.88)
GF Value™: $168.89 vs. price of $148.91 (11.8% below fair value)
Industry Position: 5753% above the Business Services median (#317 of 364)
No single metric tells the full story. See the HRI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Herc Holdings is an equipment rental company that was spun out of Hertz Global in 2016. It is currently the third-largest player in North America, after United Rentals and Sunbelt Rentals, with an approximate 6% market share pro forma for its 2025 acquisition of H&E Equipment Services. It serves a similar mix of companies to its peers (industrial, commercial, and residential construction) from its 450 locations targeting the top 100 metropolitan markets in the US. Herc's rental fleet of approximately $7 billion is also similar in composition to its peer group in terms of equipment offered. The company is also pursuing diversification by bundling and increasing specialty solutions for its customer base. Herc's portfolio skews toward local customers versus national accounts (60%/40%).
86GF Score
Get the complete analysis for HRI
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
HRI has been successfully added to your 
