Herc HoldingsHRI +6.82%86 Altman Z-Score is 0.79 as of Jun. 26, 2026, which is 2% below its 10-year median of 0.81. GuruFocus rates HRI with a GF Score™ of 86/100 and a GF Value™ of $168.69 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,060 Business Services companies, Herc Holdings ranks worse than 86.32% on this metric.
The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Warning Sign:
Altman Z-score of 0.79 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.
Herc Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 0.79, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Herc Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
HRI'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.36 Med: 0.81 Max: 1.62
Current: 0.79
During the past 13 years, Herc Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.62. The lowest was 0.36. And the median was 0.81.
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Herc Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms
Herc Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Herc Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Herc Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Herc Holdings Altman Z-Score vs Business Services Industry
For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Herc Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Herc Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Herc Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.0215
+
1.4
*
0.0369
+
3.3
*
0.0345
+
0.6
*
0.438
+
1.0
*
0.3396
=
0.79
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Herc Holdings (HRI) has a Altman Z-Score of 0.79 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Herc Holdings and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 0.81. Over the past decade, Herc Holdings' Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.36 to 1.62. According to the industry distribution chart, Herc Holdings ranks #915 out of 1060 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 86.3%.
Is Herc Holdings' Altman Z-Score too high?
Herc Holdings' current Altman Z-Score of 0.79 is near median its 10-year median of 0.81. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.36 to a high of 1.62. The Business Services industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.97. Herc Holdings' value of 0.79 is 73.4% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Herc Holdings ranks #915 out of 1060 companies in the Business Services industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Herc Holdings has a GF Score™ of 86/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Herc Holdings' Altman Z-Score compare to WSC and EQPT?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, Herc Holdings ranks #915 out of 1060 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Herc Holdings in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.97. Herc Holdings' value of 0.79 is 73.4% below this benchmark. Historically, Herc Holdings' own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.36 to 1.62 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.81 vs. the industry median of 2.97, Herc Holdings has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Business Services company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Business Services companies is 2.97, based on 1,060 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Herc Holdings's current Altman Z-Score of 0.79 is 73.4% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Herc Holdings and its competitors. For the Business Services industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.97 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Herc Holdings's current Altman Z-Score is 0.79, which is near median its own 10-year median of 0.81. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Herc Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Herc Holdings (HRI) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $168.69, compared to a current price of $153.00 — trading 9.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 0.79, which is near median its 10-year median of 0.81 and 73.4% below the Business Services industry median of 2.97. Herc Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 86/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Herc Holdings (HRI), the current Altman Z-Score is 0.79 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Herc Holdings (HRI) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Herc Holdings stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $153.00 is trading 9.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of $168.69.
GuruFocus considers Herc Holdings to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for HRI:
Altman Z-Score: 0.79 (near median its 10-year median of 0.81)
GF Value™: $168.69 vs. price of $153.00 (9.3% below fair value)
Industry Position: 73.4% below the Business Services median (#915 of 1060)
No single metric tells the full story. See the HRI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Herc Holdings is an equipment rental company that was spun out of Hertz Global in 2016. It is currently the third-largest player in North America, after United Rentals and Sunbelt Rentals, with an approximate 6% market share pro forma for its 2025 acquisition of H&E Equipment Services. It serves a similar mix of companies to its peers (industrial, commercial, and residential construction) from its 450 locations targeting the top 100 metropolitan markets in the US. Herc's rental fleet of approximately $7 billion is also similar in composition to its peer group in terms of equipment offered. The company is also pursuing diversification by bundling and increasing specialty solutions for its customer base. Herc's portfolio skews toward local customers versus national accounts (60%/40%).
86GF Score
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