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Ally Financial (MEX:ALLY1) Beneish M-Score : -2.48 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Ally Financial Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.48 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ally Financial's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:ALLY1' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.97   Med: -2.41   Max: 0.58
Current: -2.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ally Financial was 0.58. The lowest was -2.97. And the median was -2.41.


Ally Financial Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ally Financial for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2492+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0062+0.892 * 0.9628+0.115 * 1.0044
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0236+4.679 * -0.014222-0.327 * 0.9375
=-2.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN22,604 Mil.
Revenue was 45169.548 + 39663.023 + 36478.569 + 38871.028 = MXN160,182 Mil.
Gross Profit was 45169.548 + 39663.023 + 36478.569 + 38871.028 = MXN160,182 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN0 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN3,799,854 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN190,405 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN22,413 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN59,285 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN259,361 Mil.
Net Income was 7029.437 + 5386.11 + 2605.612 + 1290.043 = MXN16,311 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = MXN0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 19532.778 + 28854.162 + 22255.578 + -288.562 = MXN70,354 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN18,795 Mil.
Revenue was 37833.844 + 38813.79 + 42250.6 + 47472.76 = MXN166,371 Mil.
Gross Profit was 37833.844 + 38813.79 + 42250.6 + 47472.76 = MXN166,371 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN0 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN3,408,948 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN190,754 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN22,564 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN60,158 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN248,184 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(22604.464 / 160182.168) / (18794.99 / 166370.994)
=0.141117 / 0.11297
=1.2492

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(166370.994 / 166370.994) / (160182.168 / 160182.168)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 190405.201) / 3799853.787) / (1 - (0 + 190754.341) / 3408947.819)
=0.949891 / 0.944043
=1.0062

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=160182.168 / 166370.994
=0.9628

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(22563.569 / (22563.569 + 190754.341)) / (22412.514 / (22412.514 + 190405.201))
=0.105774 / 0.105313
=1.0044

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(59285.131 / 160182.168) / (60157.739 / 166370.994)
=0.370111 / 0.361588
=1.0236

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((259360.632 + 0) / 3799853.787) / ((248184.444 + 0) / 3408947.819)
=0.068255 / 0.072804
=0.9375

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(16311.202 - 0 - 70353.956) / 3799853.787
=-0.014222

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ally Financial has a M-score of -2.33 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Ally Financial Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Ally Financial Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
500 Woodward Avenue, Floor 10, Ally Detroit Center, Detroit, MI, USA, 48226
Formerly the captive financial arm of General Motors, Ally Financial became an independent publicly traded firm in 2014 and is one of the largest consumer auto lenders in the country. While the firm has expanded its product offerings over time, it remains primarily focused on auto lending with more than 70% of its loan book in consumer auto loans and dealer financing. Ally also offers auto insurance, commercial loans, credit cards, and holds a portfolio of mortgage debt, giving the bank a diversified business model, which includes brokerage services.