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Grupo Assa (XPTY:ASSA) Beneish M-Score : -2.15 (As of Jun. 23, 2024)


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What is Grupo Assa Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.15 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Grupo Assa's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XPTY:ASSA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.42   Med: -2.39   Max: -0.77
Current: -2.15

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Grupo Assa was -0.77. The lowest was -3.42. And the median was -2.39.


Grupo Assa Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Grupo Assa for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0359+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0014+0.892 * 1.1633+0.115 * 1.0017
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8913+4.679 * -0.012534-0.327 * 0.4215
=-2.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $316.3 Mil.
Revenue was 166.718 + 192.253 + 140.948 + 152.865 = $652.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was 166.718 + 192.253 + 140.948 + 152.865 = $652.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $0.0 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,669.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $55.6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $13.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $37.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $0.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $92.6 Mil.
Net Income was 22.162 + 33.89 + 22.254 + 20.563 = $98.9 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 58.351 + 74.167 + -2.44 + 14.789 = $144.9 Mil.
Total Receivables was $262.5 Mil.
Revenue was 151.226 + 165.862 + 118.994 + 125.069 = $561.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was 151.226 + 165.862 + 118.994 + 125.069 = $561.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $0.0 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,454.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $56.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $13.6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $36.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $0.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $206.8 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(316.276 / 652.784) / (262.467 / 561.151)
=0.484503 / 0.46773
=1.0359

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(561.151 / 561.151) / (652.784 / 652.784)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 55.57) / 3669.77) / (1 - (0 + 56.932) / 3454.066)
=0.984857 / 0.983517
=1.0014

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=652.784 / 561.151
=1.1633

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(13.579 / (13.579 + 56.932)) / (13.226 / (13.226 + 55.57))
=0.19258 / 0.19225
=1.0017

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(37.456 / 652.784) / (36.127 / 561.151)
=0.057379 / 0.06438
=0.8913

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((92.58 + 0) / 3669.77) / ((206.751 + 0) / 3454.066)
=0.025228 / 0.059857
=0.4215

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(98.869 - 0 - 144.867) / 3669.77
=-0.012534

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Grupo Assa has a M-score of -2.15 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Grupo Assa Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Grupo Assa (XPTY:ASSA) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Nicanor de Obarrio Avenue (Calle 50), PO Box 0816-01622, ASSA Building, between Calles 56 and 57, Panama, PAN
Grupo Assa SA is engaged in the operations of insurance business, banking operations, financial activities and investment operations.