PICC Property and Casualty Co (FRA:PJC) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.00% (As of Dec. 2025)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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FRA:PJC PICC Property and Casualty Co Ltd FRA:PJC
83 GF Score
Price €1.75
GF Value €1.45
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is PICC Property and Casualty Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

PICC Property and Casualty Co FRA:PJC +0.17% 83 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus rates FRA:PJC with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of €1.45 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 280 Insurance companies, PICC Property and Casualty Co ranks worse than 357142.5% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. PICC Property and Casualty Co's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for PICC Property and Casualty Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, PICC Property and Casualty Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 15.70. The lowest was 8.63. And the median was 8.63.

FRA:PJC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Insurance industry.
Industry Median: 17.025
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


PICC Property and Casualty Co  (FRA:PJC) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


PICC Property and Casualty Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


PICC Property and Casualty Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PICC Property and Casualty Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PICC Property and Casualty Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

PICC Property and Casualty Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.36 16.30 14.23 14.73 0.00

PICC Property and Casualty Co Quarterly Data
Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 14.73 0.00 0.00 0.00

FRA:PJC vs CB, PGR, TRV: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, PICC Property and Casualty Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PICC Property and Casualty Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, PICC Property and Casualty Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PICC Property and Casualty Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


FRA:PJC
83GF Score
PICC Property and Casualty Co Ltd FRA:PJC
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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PICC Property and Casualty Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

PICC Property and Casualty Co's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0/1.75+0
=0.00 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% mean?
PICC Property and Casualty Co (FRA:PJC) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on PICC Property and Casualty Co and its competitors. Over the past decade, PICC Property and Casualty Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 8.63 to 15.70. According to the industry distribution chart, PICC Property and Casualty Co ranks #999999 out of 280 companies in the Insurance industry.
Is PICC Property and Casualty Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
PICC Property and Casualty Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 8.63 to a high of 15.70. Based on the distribution chart, PICC Property and Casualty Co ranks #999999 out of 280 companies in the Insurance industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, PICC Property and Casualty Co has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PICC Property and Casualty Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to CB and PGR?
According to the Insurance industry distribution chart, PICC Property and Casualty Co ranks #999999 out of 280 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places PICC Property and Casualty Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 17.03. Historically, PICC Property and Casualty Co's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 8.63 to 15.70 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Insurance company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Insurance companies is 17.03, based on 280 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on PICC Property and Casualty Co and its competitors. For the Insurance industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 17.03 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. PICC Property and Casualty Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PICC Property and Casualty Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PICC Property and Casualty Co (FRA:PJC) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €1.45, compared to a current price of €1.75 — trading 20.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. PICC Property and Casualty Co's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PICC Property and Casualty Co (FRA:PJC), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PICC Property and Casualty Co (FRA:PJC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PICC Property and Casualty Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €1.75 is trading 20.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of €1.45. GuruFocus considers PICC Property and Casualty Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:PJC:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.00%
  • GF Value™: €1.45 vs. price of €1.75 (20.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:PJC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PICC Property and Casualty Co Business Description

Other Exchanges PPCCY:USA02328:Hong Kong
Address Tower 2, No. 2 Jianguomenwai Avenue, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN, 100022
PICC P&C is headquartered in Beijing. The company is China's largest nonlife insurer, commanding nearly 33% domestic market share. Founded by the People's Bank of China in 1949, PICC P&C operates as the flagship subsidiary of PICC Group—a state-owned insurance holding company that retains a 69% equity stake. The company underwrites a comprehensive suite of nonlife insurance products spanning auto, commercial property, liability, credit and surety, accident and health, energy and aerospace, and agricultural lines.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:PJC

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€1.75
Price
€1.45
GF Value