Simon Property Group (MEX:SPG) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:SPG Simon Property Group Inc MEX:SPG
70 GF Score
Price MXN3,890.00
GF Value MXN3,199.34
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Simon Property Group Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Simon Property Group is: Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock.

Simon Property Group  (MEX:SPG) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Simon Property Group Risk Assessment Related Terms

MEX:SPG vs O, KIM, REG: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, Simon Property Group's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Simon Property Group Risk Assessment vs REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Simon Property Group's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Simon Property Group's Risk Assessment falls into.


MEX:SPG
70GF Score
Simon Property Group Inc MEX:SPG
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Simon Property Group (MEX:SPG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Simon Property Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN3,890.00 is trading 21.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN3,199.34. GuruFocus considers Simon Property Group to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:SPG:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: MXN3,199.34 vs. price of MXN3,890.00 (21.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:SPG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Simon Property Group Business Description

Industry Real EstateREITs
Address 225 West Washington Street, Indianapolis, IN, USA, 46204
Simon Property Group is the largest retail real estate investment trust in the United States. Its portfolio includes an interest in 254 properties: 114 traditional malls, 108 premium outlets, 14 Mills centers (a combination of a traditional mall, outlet center, and big-box retailers), six lifestyle centers, and 12 other retail properties. Simon's portfolio averaged $736 in sales per square foot over the trailing 12 months. The company also owns a 22% interest in Klépierre, a European retail company with investments in shopping centers in 14 countries, and joint-venture interests in 33 premium outlets across 14 countries.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:SPG

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN3,890.00
Price
MXN3,199.34
GF Value