Simon Property Group (MEX:SPG) Altman Z-Score: 1.77 (As of Jun. 27, 2026) — 35% Above Median


MEX:SPG Simon Property Group Inc MEX:SPG
70 GF Score
Price MXN3,529.00
GF Value MXN2,807.15
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Simon Property Group Altman Z-Score?

Simon Property Group MEX:SPG 70 Altman Z-Score is 1.77 as of Jun. 27, 2026, which is 35% above its 10-year median of 1.31. GuruFocus rates MEX:SPG with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN2,807.15 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 739 REITs companies, Simon Property Group ranks better than 73.21% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.8 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Simon Property Group has a Altman Z-Score of 1.77, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Simon Property Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:SPG' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.51   Med: 1.31   Max: 1.82
Current: 1.8

During the past 13 years, Simon Property Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.82. The lowest was 0.51. And the median was 1.31.


Simon Property Group  (MEX:SPG) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Simon Property Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Simon Property Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Simon Property Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Simon Property Group Altman Z-Score Chart

Simon Property Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.28 0.99 1.17 1.43 1.53

Simon Property Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.30 1.22 1.41 1.53 1.56

MEX:SPG vs O, KIM, REG: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, Simon Property Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Simon Property Group Altman Z-Score vs REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Simon Property Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Simon Property Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.


MEX:SPG
70GF Score
Simon Property Group Inc MEX:SPG
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Simon Property Group Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Simon Property Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0522+1.4*-0.123+3.3*0.1653+0.6*2.1464+1.0*0.17
=1.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was MXN714,800 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN25,674 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN63,017 Mil.
Retained Earnings was MXN-87,922 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 9892.757 + 63615.705 + 13167.65 + 12781.035 = MXN99,457 Mil.
Interest Expense was -4970.93 + -4903.42 + -4453.788 + -4382.007 = MXN-18,710 Mil.
Revenue was 31685.131 + 32256.527 + 29379.557 + 28214.784 = MXN121,536 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was MXN1,288,965 Mil.
Total Liabilities was MXN600,530 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(25674.273 - 63016.587)/714799.657
=-0.0522

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-87921.603/714799.657
=-0.123

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(99457.147 - -18710.145)/714799.657
=0.1653

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1288964.633/600530.368
=2.1464

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=121535.999/714799.657
=0.17

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Simon Property Group has a Altman Z-Score of 1.77 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 1.77 mean?
Simon Property Group (MEX:SPG) has a Altman Z-Score of 1.77 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Simon Property Group and its competitors. This is 35% above median its historical median of 1.31. Over the past decade, Simon Property Group's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.51 to 1.82. According to the industry distribution chart, Simon Property Group ranks #198 out of 739 companies in the REITs industry, placing it in the top 26.8%.
Is Simon Property Group's Altman Z-Score too high?
Simon Property Group's current Altman Z-Score of 1.77 is 35% above median its 10-year median of 1.31. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.51 to a high of 1.82. The REITs industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.07. Simon Property Group's value of 1.77 is 65.4% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Simon Property Group ranks #198 out of 739 companies in the REITs industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Simon Property Group has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Simon Property Group's Altman Z-Score compare to O and KIM?
According to the REITs industry distribution chart, Simon Property Group ranks #198 out of 739 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts Simon Property Group in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.07. Simon Property Group's value of 1.77 is 65.4% above this benchmark. Historically, Simon Property Group's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.51 to 1.82 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.31 vs. the industry median of 1.07, Simon Property Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a REITs company?
The median Altman Z-Score among REITs companies is 1.07, based on 739 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Simon Property Group's current Altman Z-Score of 1.77 is 65.4% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Simon Property Group and its competitors. For the REITs industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.07 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Simon Property Group's current Altman Z-Score is 1.77, which is 35% above median its own 10-year median of 1.31. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Simon Property Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Simon Property Group (MEX:SPG) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN2,807.15, compared to a current price of MXN3,529.00 — trading 25.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 1.77, which is 35% above median its 10-year median of 1.31 and 65.4% above the REITs industry median of 1.07. Simon Property Group's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Simon Property Group (MEX:SPG), the current Altman Z-Score is 1.77 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Simon Property Group (MEX:SPG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Simon Property Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN3,529.00 is trading 25.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN2,807.15. GuruFocus considers Simon Property Group to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:SPG:

  • Altman Z-Score: 1.77 (35% above median its 10-year median of 1.31)
  • GF Value™: MXN2,807.15 vs. price of MXN3,529.00 (25.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 65.4% above the REITs median (#198 of 739)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:SPG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Simon Property Group Business Description

Industry Real EstateREITs
Address 225 West Washington Street, Indianapolis, IN, USA, 46204
Simon Property Group is the largest retail real estate investment trust in the United States. Its portfolio includes an interest in 254 properties: 114 traditional malls, 108 premium outlets, 14 Mills centers (a combination of a traditional mall, outlet center, and big-box retailers), six lifestyle centers, and 12 other retail properties. Simon's portfolio averaged $736 in sales per square foot over the trailing 12 months. The company also owns a 22% interest in Klépierre, a European retail company with investments in shopping centers in 14 countries, and joint-venture interests in 33 premium outlets across 14 countries.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:SPG

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN3,529.00
Price
MXN2,807.15
GF Value