NCBA Group (NAI:NCBA) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

NAI:NCBA NCBA Group PLC NAI:NCBA
68 GF Score
Price KES92.50
GF Value KES61.97
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is NCBA Group Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of NCBA Group is: High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff.

NCBA Group  (NAI:NCBA) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

NCBA Group Risk Assessment Related Terms

NCBA Group Risk Assessment Competitor Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, NCBA Group's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

NCBA Group Risk Assessment vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, NCBA Group's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NCBA Group's Risk Assessment falls into.


NAI:NCBA
68GF Score
NCBA Group PLC NAI:NCBA
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is NCBA Group (NAI:NCBA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NCBA Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of KES92.50 is trading 49.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of KES61.97. GuruFocus considers NCBA Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NAI:NCBA:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: KES61.97 vs. price of KES92.50 (49.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NAI:NCBA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

NCBA Group Business Description

Address Mara and Ragati Roads, P.O. Box 44599-00100, NCBA Centre, Upper hill, Nairobi, KEN
NCBA Group PLC and its subsidiaries provide retail, corporate, and digital banking, brokerage, bancassurance, insurance, and investment banking services. The Group's operating divisions are: Corporate and institutional banking, Retail banking (SME and Consumer banking), Treasury dealing, Digital Bank, Investment banking, and Insurance. Through these divisions, it caters to different segments of customers from medium and large corporates to high net worth and other retail individual clients, offering them various kinds of financial products and services, such as deposit accounts, loans, advisory, digital banking, and wealth management solutions, among others. The Group's geographical segments are: Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, Rwanda, and Ghana. The majority of its revenue is derived from Kenya.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NAI:NCBA

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

KES92.50
Price
KES61.97
GF Value