The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance (AMM:THBK) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.05% (As of Jun. 29, 2026)


AMM:THBK The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance AMM:THBK
76 GF Score
Price JOD4.86
GF Value JOD3.89
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance AMM:THBK -0.21% 76 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05% as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates AMM:THBK with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of JOD3.89 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance  (AMM:THBK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance Probability of Financial Distress (%) Competitor Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


AMM:THBK
76GF Score
The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance AMM:THBK
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.53

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=(Balance Sheet Cash And Cash Equivalents + Money Market Investments) / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05% mean?
The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance (AMM:THBK) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05% as of Jun. 29, 2026.
Is The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%. Overall, The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to competitors?
The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05% can be compared against companies in the Banks industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Banks company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Banks industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance (AMM:THBK) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is JOD3.89, compared to a current price of JOD4.86 — trading 24.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%. The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance (AMM:THBK), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05% as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance (AMM:THBK) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of JOD4.86 is trading 24.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of JOD3.89. GuruFocus considers The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for AMM:THBK:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.05%
  • GF Value™: JOD3.89 vs. price of JOD4.86 (24.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the AMM:THBK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance Business Description

Address Prince Shaker Bin Zaid Street, Al-Shumaysani, PO Box 7693, Amman, JOR, 11118
The Housing Bank for Trade & Finance is a commercial banking setup based in Jordan. Its operating segments include Retail Banking, Corporate, Corporate Finance, Treasury, and Others. The Retail Banking segment, which generates maximum revenue, includes accepting deposits from individual customers and small businesses and granting loans, credit cards, and other services. Its Corporate segment includes following up on deposits, credit facilities, and other banking services for institutional and corporate clients; the Corporate Finance segment relates to arranging structured finance and providing services relating to privatizations, IPOs, mergers, and acquisitions; and the Treasury segment provides trading and treasury services and management of the bank's funds in money and capital markets.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for AMM:THBK

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

JOD4.86
Price
JOD3.89
GF Value