GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Insurance » Stewart Information Services Corp (NYSE:STC) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

STC (Stewart Information Services) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1994. Start your Free Trial

What is Stewart Information Services Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Stewart Information Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Stewart Information Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Stewart Information Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Stewart Information Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Stewart Information Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Stewart Information Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Stewart Information Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.23

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For insurance companies, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Stewart Information Services  (NYSE:STC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Stewart Information Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Stewart Information Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Stewart Information Services Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1360 Post Oak Boulevard, Suite 100, Houston, TX, USA, 77056
Stewart Information Services Corp is a customer-focused, title insurance and real estate services company offering products and services to home buyers and sellers, mortgage lenders and servicers, attorneys, and home builders. It has three operating segments; Title insurance and related services which generates key revenue, includes the functions of searching, examining, closing, and insuring the condition of the title to real property. It also includes home and personal insurance services, Real estate solutions segment supports the real estate mortgage industry by providing appraisal management services, online notarization and closing solutions, credit, and real estate information services, search and valuation services. Corporate and other segment is comprised of parent holding company.
Executives
Matthew Morris director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1905 SHARP PL, HOUSTON TX 77019
Steven Mark Lessack officer: Group President 1980 POST OAK BLVD., #800, HOUSTON TX 77056
David C Hisey officer: CFO 8950 CYPRESS WATERS BOULEVARD, COPPELL TX 75019
Helen Vaid director 600 WEST CHICAGO AVE., STE 400, CHICAGO IL 60654
Frederick H Eppinger director THE HANOVER INSURANCE GROUP, INC., 440 LINCOLN ST, WORCESTER MA 01653
Bradley C Allen Jr director AMERISAFE INC, 2301 HIGHWAY 190 WEST, DERIDDER LA 70634
Elizabeth Giddens officer: Chief Legal Officer; Secretary 10000 WEHRLE DRIVE, CLARENCE NY 14031
Hamm John Earl Jr. officer: EVP, Chief Information Officer 1360 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77056
Corey William S. Jr. director C/O STEWART INFORMATION SERVICES CORP., 1360 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 100 MC-14-1, HOUSTON TX 77056
Deborah Jane Matz director C/O STEWART INFORMATION SERVICES CORP., 1360 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 100 MC-14-1, HOUSTON TX 77056
Emily Kain officer: Chief Human Resource Officer C/O STEWART INFORMATION SERVICES CORP., 1360 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 100, MC-14-1, HOUSTON TX 77056
Glenn C Christenson director 2411 W SAHARA AVENUE, LAS VEGAS NV 89102
James M Chadwick director C/O IMPERIAL HOLDINGS, INC., 701 PARK OF COMMERCE BLVD., #301, BOCA RATON FL 33487
Tara Smith officer: Group President STEWART INFORMATION SERVICES CORP., 1980 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 710, HOUSTON TX 77056
Clifford Press director 152 WEST 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019