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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, West Coast Community Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
West Coast Community Bancorp (OTCPK:WCCB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
West Coast Community Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
WCCB vs BWB, SFST, UNTY: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Banks - Regional subindustry, West Coast Community Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
West Coast Community Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Banks Industry
For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, West Coast Community Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where West Coast Community Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
West Coast Community Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-7.71
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% mean?
West Coast Community Bancorp (WCCB) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% as of Aug. 03, 2026.
Is West Coast Community Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
West Coast Community Bancorp's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Overall, West Coast Community Bancorp has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does West Coast Community Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to BWB and SFST?
West Coast Community Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% can be compared against companies in the Banks industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Banks company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Banks industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. West Coast Community Bancorp's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is West Coast Community Bancorp stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, West Coast Community Bancorp (WCCB) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $47.15, compared to a current price of $55.01 — trading 16.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. West Coast Community Bancorp's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For West Coast Community Bancorp (WCCB), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Aug. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is West Coast Community Bancorp (WCCB) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, West Coast Community Bancorp stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $55.01 is trading 16.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of $47.15.
GuruFocus considers West Coast Community Bancorp to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for WCCB:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04%
GF Value™: $47.15 vs. price of $55.01 (16.7% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the WCCB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
West Coast Community Bancorp is a bank holding company. Through its banking subsidiary, it offers a full range of commercial and personal banking services to residents and businesses in Santa Cruz County and adjacent Monterey, San Luis Obispo, and Santa Clara counties. Its products and service offerings include mobile banking, credit and debit cards, treasury management, deposit products, such as checking, savings, and term certificate accounts, and lending products such as commercial, commercial real estate, construction, multifamily, municipal, asset-backed loans, etc. Its lending products also include various government guarantee programs such as Small Business Administration (SBA) and 504 programs, as well as U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) programs.
79GF Score
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