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Fossil GroupFOSL +3.97%47 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is 22.40% as of Jun. 2026, which is 16% above its 10-year median of 19.30. GuruFocus rates FOSL with a GF Score™ of 47/100 and a GF Value™ of $1.19 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 639 Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories companies, Fossil Group ranks better than 69.48% on this metric.
During the past 3 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 22.40% per year.
Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the average Free Cash Flow per Share growth rate.
During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate of Fossil Group was 87.10% per year. The lowest was -46.30% per year. And the median was 19.30% per year.
Fossil Group (NAS:FOSL) 3-Year FCF Growth Rate Explanation
Free Cash Flow per Share is the amount of Free Cash Flow per outstanding share of the company's stock. Free Cash Flow is considered one of the most important parameters to measure a company's earnings power by value investors because it is not subject to estimates of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization (DDA). However, when we look at the Free Cash Flow, we should look from a long term perspective, because any year's Free Cash Flow can be drastically affected by the spending on Property, Plant, & Equipment (PPE) of the business in that year. Over the long term, Free Cash Flow should give pretty good picture on the real earnings power of the company. It's used in the calculation of Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %.
Fossil Group 3-Year FCF Growth Rate Related Terms
FOSL vs RCKY, DBI, WEYS: 3-Year FCF Growth Rate Comparison
For the Footwear & Accessories subindustry, Fossil Group's 3-Year FCF Growth Rate, along with its competitors' market caps and 3-Year FCF Growth Rate data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Fossil Group 3-Year FCF Growth Rate vs Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry
For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Fossil Group's 3-Year FCF Growth Rate distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Fossil Group's 3-Year FCF Growth Rate falls into.
This is the 3-year average growth rate of Free Cash Flow per Share. The growth rate is calculated using exponential compounding based on the latest four year annual data.
Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the average Free Cash Flow per Share growth rate.
What does a 3-Year FCF Growth Rate of 22.40% mean?
Fossil Group (FOSL) has a 3-Year FCF Growth Rate of 22.40% as of Jun. 2026. 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is the 3-year average growth rate of Free Cash Flow per Share. View historical data for Fossil Group and its competitors. This is 16% above median its historical median of 19.30. According to the industry distribution chart, Fossil Group ranks #195 out of 639 companies in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, placing it in the top 30.5%.
Is Fossil Group's 3-Year FCF Growth Rate too high?
Fossil Group's current 3-Year FCF Growth Rate of 22.40% is 16% above median its 10-year median of 19.30. The Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry median 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is 0.10. Fossil Group's value of 22.40% is 22300% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Fossil Group ranks #195 out of 639 companies in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Fossil Group has a GF Score™ of 47/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Fossil Group's 3-Year FCF Growth Rate compare to RCKY and DBI?
According to the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry distribution chart, Fossil Group ranks #195 out of 639 companies for 3-Year FCF Growth Rate. This puts Fossil Group in the upper half of its industry. The industry median 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is 0.10. Fossil Group's value of 22.40% is 22300% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 19.30 vs. the industry median of 0.10, Fossil Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good 3-Year FCF Growth Rate for a Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories company?
The median 3-Year FCF Growth Rate among Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories companies is 0.10, based on 639 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a 3-Year FCF Growth Rate significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, 3-Year FCF Growth Rate should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Fossil Group's current 3-Year FCF Growth Rate of 22.40% is 22300% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high 3-Year FCF Growth Rate mean?
A high 3-Year FCF Growth Rate can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is the 3-year average growth rate of Free Cash Flow per Share. View historical data for Fossil Group and its competitors. For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, the median 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is 0.10 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Fossil Group's current 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is 22.40%, which is 16% above median its own 10-year median of 19.30. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Fossil Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Fossil Group (FOSL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $1.19, compared to a current price of $5.24 — trading 340.3% above its estimated fair value. The current 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is 22.40%, which is 16% above median its 10-year median of 19.30 and 22300% above the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry median of 0.10. Fossil Group's overall GF Score™ is 47/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is 3-Year FCF Growth Rate calculated?
3-Year FCF Growth Rate is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Fossil Group (FOSL), the current 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is 22.40% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Fossil Group (FOSL) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Fossil Group stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $5.24 is trading 340.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $1.19.
GuruFocus considers Fossil Group to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for FOSL:
3-Year FCF Growth Rate: 22.40% (16% above median its 10-year median of 19.30)
GF Value™: $1.19 vs. price of $5.24 (340.3% above fair value)
Industry Position: 22300% above the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories median (#195 of 639)
No single metric tells the full story. See the FOSL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Fossil Group Inc is a design, innovation, and distribution company in consumer fashion accessories, offering products such as watches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It designs, develops, markets, and distributes products under its owned brands FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, RELIC, and ZODIAC. It operates through Americas, Europe, and Asia segments, each including sales to wholesale and distributor customers, as well as Company-owned retail stores and e-commerce activities based on the location of the selling entity. The Americas segment contributes the majority of revenue and includes sales across Canada, Latin America, and the United States, while the Europe and Asia segments cover their respective regions. Each segment provides similar products and services.
47GF Score
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