FOSL (Fossil Group) ROC (Joel Greenblatt) %: 20.14% (As of Mar. 2026)


FOSL Fossil Group Inc FOSL
48 GF Score
Price $4.28
GF Value $1.18
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Fossil Group ROC (Joel Greenblatt) %?

Fossil Group FOSL -1.15% 48 ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % is 20.14% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates FOSL with a GF Score™ of 48/100 and a GF Value™ of $1.18 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,062 Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories companies, Fossil Group ranks worse than 77.97% on this metric.

Joel Greenblatt defined Return on Capital differently in his book The Little Book That Still Beats the Market (Little Books. Big Profits). He defines ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % as EBIT divided by the total of Property, Plant and Equipment and net working capital. Fossil Group's annualized ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was 20.14%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fossil Group's ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % or its related term are showing as below:

FOSL' s ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -48.78   Med: -6.04   Max: 15.36
Current: -2.13

During the past 13 years, Fossil Group's highest ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % was 15.36%. The lowest was -48.78%. And the median was -6.04%.

FOSL's ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % is ranked worse than
77.97% of 1062 companies
in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry
Industry Median: 8.44 vs FOSL: -2.13

Fossil Group's 5-Year average Growth Rate of ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % was 0.00% per year.


Fossil Group  (NAS:FOSL) ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % Explanation

The way Joel Greenblatt defines Return on Capital is a more accurate measure of how efficiently the company generates returns onthe capital actually invested in the business. EBIT is used instead of net income because the tax and interest payment may be affected by factors other than the core business operation. Intangible assets are not included in the calculation because they don't need to be replaced.

Joel Greenblatt uses his definition of Return on Capital and Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % to rank companies.


Fossil Group ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % Related Terms


Fossil Group ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Fossil Group's ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Fossil Group ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % Chart

Fossil Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
ROC (Joel Greenblatt) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.36 -0.55 -26.87 -27.35 -11.53

Fossil Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -12.88 10.15 -36.48 -0.07 20.14

FOSL vs FWDI, RCKY, DBI: ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % Comparison

For the Footwear & Accessories subindustry, Fossil Group's ROC (Joel Greenblatt) %, along with its competitors' market caps and ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fossil Group ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % vs Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Fossil Group's ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fossil Group's ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % falls into.


FOSL
48GF Score
Fossil Group Inc FOSL
ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Fossil Group ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % Calculation

Joel Greenblatt defined Return on Capital differently in his book The Little Book That Still Beats the Market (Little Books. Big Profits) . He defines Return on Capital as follows:

ROC (Joel Greenblatt) %=EBIT/Average of (Net fixed Assets + Net Working Capital)

EBIT stands for Earnings Before Interest and Taxes.

Fixed Assets are also known as non-current assets. They include the Property, Plant and Equipment that the firm needs in its operation.

GuruFocus calculates net working capital as: (Accounts Receivable + Total Inventories + Other Current Assets) - (Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense + Deferred Revenue + Other Current Liabilities). We're trying to account for OPERATING assets and liabilities (part of daily business) when calculating working capital. Cash and marketable securities are considered NON-OPERATING assets and are not included in calculation. We will also back out all interest bearing debt, short term debt and the portion of long term debt that is due in the current period from the current liabilities. This debt will be considered when computing cost of capital and it would be inappropriate to count it twice.

Working Capital(Q: Dec. 2025 )
=(Accounts Receivable + Total Inventories + Other Current Assets) - (Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense + Defer. Rev. + Other Current Liabilities)
=(144.569 + 158.976 + 41.338) - (196.406 + 0 + 66.604)
=81.873

Working Capital(Q: Mar. 2026 )
=(Accounts Receivable + Total Inventories + Other Current Assets) - (Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense + Defer. Rev. + Other Current Liabilities)
=(116.843 + 156.075 + 81.576) - (177.554 + 0 + 39.134)
=137.806

When net working capital is negative, 0 is used.

So ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % of Fossil Group for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 can be restated as:

ROC (Joel Greenblatt) %(Q: Mar. 2026 )
=EBIT/Average of (Net fixed Assets + Net Working Capital)
=EBIT/Average of (Property, Plant and Equipment+Net Working Capital)
     Q: Dec. 2025  Q: Mar. 2026
=EBIT/( ( (Property, Plant and Equipment + Net Working Capital) + (Property, Plant and Equipment + Net Working Capital) )/ count )
=52.82/( ( (152.428 + max(81.873, 0)) + (152.542 + max(137.806, 0)) )/ 2 )
=52.82/( ( 234.301 + 290.348 )/ 2 )
=52.82/262.3245
=20.14 %

Note: The EBIT data used here is four times the quarterly (Mar. 2026) EBIT data.

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % of 20.14% mean?
Fossil Group (FOSL) has a ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % of 20.14% as of Mar. 2026. Joel Greenblatt's return on capital is the ratio of EBIT to average fixed assets and net working capital. View historical data on Fossil Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Fossil Group ranks #828 out of 1062 companies in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, placing it in the top 78%.
Is Fossil Group's ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % too high?
Fossil Group's current ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % is 20.14%. The Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry median ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % is 8.44. Fossil Group's value of 20.14% is 138.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Fossil Group ranks #828 out of 1062 companies in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Fossil Group has a GF Score™ of 48/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Fossil Group's ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % compare to FWDI and RCKY?
According to the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry distribution chart, Fossil Group ranks #828 out of 1062 companies for ROC (Joel Greenblatt) %. This places Fossil Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % is 8.44. Fossil Group's value of 20.14% is 138.6% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % for a Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories company?
The median ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % among Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories companies is 8.44, based on 1,062 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Fossil Group's current ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % of 20.14% is 138.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % mean?
A high ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Joel Greenblatt's return on capital is the ratio of EBIT to average fixed assets and net working capital. View historical data on Fossil Group and its competitors. For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, the median ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % is 8.44 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Fossil Group's current ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % is 20.14%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Fossil Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Fossil Group (FOSL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $1.18, compared to a current price of $4.28 — trading 262.7% above its estimated fair value. The current ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % is 20.14% and 138.6% above the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry median of 8.44. Fossil Group's overall GF Score™ is 48/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % calculated?
ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Fossil Group (FOSL), the current ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % is 20.14% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Fossil Group (FOSL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Fossil Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $4.28 is trading 262.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of $1.18. GuruFocus considers Fossil Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FOSL:

  • ROC (Joel Greenblatt) %: 20.14%
  • GF Value™: $1.18 vs. price of $4.28 (262.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 48/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 138.6% above the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories median (#828 of 1062)

No single metric tells the full story. See the FOSL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Fossil Group Business Description

Other Exchanges FSL:GermanyFOSL:Austria
Address 901 S. Central Expressway, Richardson, TX, USA, 75080
Fossil Group Inc is a design, innovation, and distribution company in consumer fashion accessories, offering products such as watches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It designs, develops, markets, and distributes products under its owned brands FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, RELIC, and ZODIAC. It operates through Americas, Europe, and Asia segments, each including sales to wholesale and distributor customers, as well as Company-owned retail stores and e-commerce activities based on the location of the selling entity. The Americas segment contributes the majority of revenue and includes sales across Canada, Latin America, and the United States, while the Europe and Asia segments cover their respective regions. Each segment provides similar products and services.
48GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FOSL

ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$4.28
Price
$1.18
GF Value