FOSL (Fossil Group) Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share: $11.03 (As of Mar. 2026)


FOSL Fossil Group Inc FOSL
48 GF Score
Price $4.33
GF Value $1.18
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share?

Fossil Group FOSL +4.31% 48 Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is $11.03 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates FOSL with a GF Score™ of 48/100 and a GF Value™ of $1.18 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Book Value per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Fossil Group's adjusted book value per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $1.697. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is $11.03 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Fossil Group's average Cyclically Adjusted Book Growth Rate was -14.90% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted Book Growth Rate was -11.40% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted Book Growth Rate was -7.80% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted Book Growth Rate was -3.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted Book Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted Book Growth Rate of Fossil Group was 25.40% per year. The lowest was -11.40% per year. And the median was 8.90% per year.

As of today (2026-06-27), Fossil Group's current stock price is $4.33. Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $11.03. Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of today is 0.39.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of Fossil Group was 2.12. The lowest was 0.05. And the median was 0.42.


Fossil Group  (NAS:FOSL) Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share may underestimate the company's equity. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual PB Ratio is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, the book value of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/B calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is also called CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=4.33/11.03
=0.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of Fossil Group was 2.12. The lowest was 0.05. And the median was 0.42.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real book value.


Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Related Terms


Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Chart

Fossil Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.06 16.49 15.05 13.32 11.45

Fossil Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.96 12.56 12.09 11.45 11.03

FOSL vs RCKY, WEYS, FWDI: Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Comparison

For the Footwear & Accessories subindustry, Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio vs Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.


FOSL
48GF Score
Fossil Group Inc FOSL
Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Book Value per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Book Value per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the book value per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 book value per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent book value in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's book value is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent book value in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's book value is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 book value in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent book value per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Fossil Group's adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_Book= Book Value per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=1.697/330.2130*330.2130
=1.697

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Fossil Group Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201606 19.641 241.018 26.910
201609 20.209 241.428 27.641
201612 20.846 241.432 28.512
201703 20.056 243.801 27.165
201706 13.255 244.955 17.868
201709 13.216 246.819 17.681
201712 11.844 246.524 15.865
201803 10.664 249.554 14.111
201806 10.437 251.989 13.677
201809 10.665 252.439 13.951
201812 11.825 251.233 15.542
201903 10.963 254.202 14.241
201906 10.686 256.143 13.776
201909 10.090 256.759 12.977
201912 9.958 256.974 12.796
202003 8.213 258.115 10.507
202006 7.721 257.797 9.890
202009 8.242 260.280 10.456
202012 8.530 260.474 10.814
202103 7.914 264.877 9.866
202106 7.824 271.696 9.509
202109 8.456 274.310 10.179
202112 8.883 278.802 10.521
202203 8.350 287.504 9.590
202206 7.668 296.311 8.545
202209 7.584 296.808 8.438
202212 7.831 296.797 8.713
202303 7.120 301.836 7.789
202306 6.473 305.109 7.006
202309 5.357 307.789 5.747
202312 4.844 306.746 5.215
202403 4.364 312.332 4.614
202406 3.613 314.175 3.797
202409 3.092 315.301 3.238
202412 2.792 315.605 2.921
202503 2.639 319.799 2.725
202506 2.794 322.561 2.860
202509 2.091 324.800 2.126
202512 1.762 324.054 1.795
202603 1.697 330.213 1.697

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share of $11.03 mean?
Fossil Group (FOSL) has a Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share of $11.03 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically adjusted book value per share represents the company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Fossil Group and its competitors.
Is Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share too high?
Fossil Group's current Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is $11.03. Overall, Fossil Group has a GF Score™ of 48/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share compare to RCKY and WEYS?
Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share of $11.03 can be compared against companies in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for a Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share depends on the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically adjusted book value per share represents the company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Fossil Group and its competitors. Fossil Group's current Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is $11.03. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Fossil Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Fossil Group (FOSL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $1.18, compared to a current price of $4.33 — trading 266.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is $11.03. Fossil Group's overall GF Score™ is 48/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Fossil Group (FOSL), the current Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is $11.03 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Fossil Group (FOSL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Fossil Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $4.33 is trading 266.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of $1.18. GuruFocus considers Fossil Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FOSL:

  • Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share: $11.03
  • GF Value™: $1.18 vs. price of $4.33 (266.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 48/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FOSL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Fossil Group Business Description

Other Exchanges FSL:GermanyFOSL:Austria
Address 901 S. Central Expressway, Richardson, TX, USA, 75080
Fossil Group Inc is a design, innovation, and distribution company in consumer fashion accessories, offering products such as watches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It designs, develops, markets, and distributes products under its owned brands FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, RELIC, and ZODIAC. It operates through Americas, Europe, and Asia segments, each including sales to wholesale and distributor customers, as well as Company-owned retail stores and e-commerce activities based on the location of the selling entity. The Americas segment contributes the majority of revenue and includes sales across Canada, Latin America, and the United States, while the Europe and Asia segments cover their respective regions. Each segment provides similar products and services.
48GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FOSL

Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$4.33
Price
$1.18
GF Value