FOSL (Fossil Group) Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share: $46.33 (As of Mar. 2026)


FOSL Fossil Group Inc FOSL
47 GF Score
Price $4.13
GF Value $1.18
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share?

Fossil Group FOSL -3.38% 47 Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is $46.33 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates FOSL with a GF Score™ of 47/100 and a GF Value™ of $1.18 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Revenue per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Fossil Group's adjusted revenue per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $3.850. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is $46.33 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Fossil Group's average Cyclically Adjusted Revenue Growth Rate was -10.70% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted Revenue Growth Rate was -8.10% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted Revenue Growth Rate was -3.80% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted Revenue Growth Rate was 1.80% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted Revenue Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted Revenue Growth Rate of Fossil Group was 19.20% per year. The lowest was -8.10% per year. And the median was 14.60% per year.

As of today (2026-07-01), Fossil Group's current stock price is $4.13. Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $46.33. Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of today is 0.09.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of Fossil Group was 0.81. The lowest was 0.01. And the median was 0.13.


Fossil Group  (NAS:FOSL) Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share may underestimate the company's revenue. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual PS Ratio is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, the revenue per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/S calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is also called CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=4.13/46.33
=0.09

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of Fossil Group was 0.81. The lowest was 0.01. And the median was 0.13.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real revenue value.


Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share Related Terms


Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share Chart

Fossil Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 59.38 60.45 57.72 52.71 46.95

Fossil Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 51.90 50.71 49.39 46.95 46.33

FOSL vs FWDI, RCKY, DBI: Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share Comparison

For the Footwear & Accessories subindustry, Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


FOSL
47GF Score
Fossil Group Inc FOSL
Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Revenue per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Revenue per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the revenue per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 revenue per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent revenue in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's revenue is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent revenue in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's revenue is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 revenue in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent revenue per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Fossil Group's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare= Revenue per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=3.85/330.2130*330.2130
=3.850

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Fossil Group Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201606 14.217 241.018 19.478
201609 15.282 241.428 20.902
201612 19.804 241.432 27.086
201703 12.042 243.801 16.310
201706 12.310 244.955 16.595
201709 14.194 246.819 18.990
201712 18.964 246.524 25.402
201803 11.684 249.554 15.460
201806 11.713 251.989 15.349
201809 12.018 252.439 15.721
201812 15.909 251.233 20.910
201903 9.377 254.202 12.181
201906 9.963 256.143 12.844
201909 10.689 256.759 13.747
201912 14.088 256.974 18.103
202003 7.727 258.115 9.885
202006 5.060 257.797 6.481
202009 8.415 260.280 10.676
202012 10.266 260.474 13.015
202103 7.047 264.877 8.785
202106 7.897 271.696 9.598
202109 9.321 274.310 11.221
202112 11.423 278.802 13.529
202203 7.228 287.504 8.302
202206 7.178 296.311 7.999
202209 8.381 296.808 9.324
202212 9.630 296.797 10.714
202303 6.270 301.836 6.859
202306 6.150 305.109 6.656
202309 6.559 307.789 7.037
202312 8.027 306.746 8.641
202403 4.856 312.332 5.134
202406 4.912 314.175 5.163
202409 5.413 315.301 5.669
202412 6.429 315.605 6.727
202503 4.380 319.799 4.523
202506 4.110 322.561 4.208
202509 5.160 324.800 5.246
202512 4.914 324.054 5.007
202603 3.850 330.213 3.850

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share of $46.33 mean?
Fossil Group (FOSL) has a Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share of $46.33 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically adjusted revenue per share represents the company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Fossil Group and its competitors.
Is Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share too high?
Fossil Group's current Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is $46.33. Overall, Fossil Group has a GF Score™ of 47/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share compare to FWDI and RCKY?
Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share of $46.33 can be compared against companies in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for a Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share depends on the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically adjusted revenue per share represents the company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Fossil Group and its competitors. Fossil Group's current Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is $46.33. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Fossil Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Fossil Group (FOSL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $1.18, compared to a current price of $4.13 — trading 250% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is $46.33. Fossil Group's overall GF Score™ is 47/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Fossil Group (FOSL), the current Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is $46.33 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Fossil Group (FOSL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Fossil Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $4.13 is trading 250% above its estimated GF Value™ of $1.18. GuruFocus considers Fossil Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FOSL:

  • Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share: $46.33
  • GF Value™: $1.18 vs. price of $4.13 (250% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 47/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FOSL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Fossil Group Business Description

Other Exchanges FSL:GermanyFOSL:Austria
Address 901 S. Central Expressway, Richardson, TX, USA, 75080
Fossil Group Inc is a design, innovation, and distribution company in consumer fashion accessories, offering products such as watches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It designs, develops, markets, and distributes products under its owned brands FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, RELIC, and ZODIAC. It operates through Americas, Europe, and Asia segments, each including sales to wholesale and distributor customers, as well as Company-owned retail stores and e-commerce activities based on the location of the selling entity. The Americas segment contributes the majority of revenue and includes sales across Canada, Latin America, and the United States, while the Europe and Asia segments cover their respective regions. Each segment provides similar products and services.
47GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FOSL

Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$4.13
Price
$1.18
GF Value