FOSL (Fossil Group) Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) %: -1.29% (As of Mar. 2026)

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FOSL Fossil Group Inc FOSL
47 GF Score
Price $4.20
GF Value $1.18
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Fossil Group Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) %?

Fossil Group FOSL +5.13% 47 Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % is -1.29% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates FOSL with a GF Score™ of 47/100 and a GF Value™ of $1.18 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,069 Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories companies, Fossil Group ranks worse than 79.7% on this metric.

Fossil Group's Enterprise Value for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $488.6 Mil. Fossil Group's EBIT for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was $-6.3 Mil. Fossil Group's Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was -1.29%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fossil Group's Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % or its related term are showing as below:

FOSL' s Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -70.44   Med: -5.26   Max: 14.76
Current: -1.3

During the past 13 years, the highest Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) of Fossil Group was 14.76%. The lowest was -70.44%. And the median was -5.26%.

FOSL's Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % is ranked worse than
79.7% of 1069 companies
in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry
Industry Median: 5.05 vs FOSL: -1.30

Joel Greenblatt's definition of earnings yield has the same problems the regular earnings yield does. It does not consider the growth of the company. It only looks at one-year's business operation. For cyclical companies, the earnings yield is usually highest at the peak of the business cycle. But these earnings are rarely sustainable.

A better indicator of the attractiveness of an investment which takes growth into account is the Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. Fossil Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was 0.00%. The Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Fossil Group  (NAS:FOSL) Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % Explanation

Joel Greenblatt defines the earnings yield using the above equation because it more accurately reflects the company's profitability relative to its stock price. Items like interest payment and tax etc. are not directly related to the company's operational profitability.

Enterprise Value instead of market cap (share price) is used in the calculation because it is the real price stock and bond investors together pay for the company.


Be Aware

Joel Greenblatt's definition of earnings yield has the same problems the regular earnings yield does. It does not consider the growth of the company. It only looks at one-year's business operation. For cyclical companies, the earnings yield is usually highest at the peak of the business cycle. But these earnings are rarely sustainable.

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % based on Don Yacktman's definition is a better measure of the expected rate of return for a stock.


Fossil Group Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % Related Terms


Fossil Group Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Fossil Group's Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Fossil Group Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % Chart

Fossil Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.78 -0.66 -38.91 -36.76 -6.95

Fossil Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -28.99 -15.38 -13.72 -6.95 -1.29

FOSL vs FWDI, RCKY, DBI: Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % Comparison

For the Footwear & Accessories subindustry, Fossil Group's Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fossil Group Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % vs Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Fossil Group's Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fossil Group's Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % falls into.


FOSL
47GF Score
Fossil Group Inc FOSL
Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Fossil Group Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % Calculation

In his book, The Little That Beat the Market, hedge fund manager Joel Greenblatt defines Earnings Yield as operating income divided by enterprise value.

Fossil Groups Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2025 is calculated as

Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt)=EBIT/Enterprise Value
=-29.524/424.55204
=-6.95 %

Fossil Group's EBIT for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $-6.3 Mil.


What does a Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % of -1.29% mean?
Fossil Group (FOSL) has a Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % of -1.29% as of Mar. 2026. Joel Greenblatt's earnings yield equals the ratio of earnings before interest and taxes to enterprise value. View historical data on Fossil Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Fossil Group ranks #852 out of 1069 companies in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, placing it in the top 79.7%.
Is Fossil Group's Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % too high?
Fossil Group's current Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % is -1.29%. Based on the distribution chart, Fossil Group ranks #852 out of 1069 companies in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Fossil Group has a GF Score™ of 47/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Fossil Group's Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % compare to FWDI and RCKY?
According to the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry distribution chart, Fossil Group ranks #852 out of 1069 companies for Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) %. This places Fossil Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % is 5.05. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % for a Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories company?
The median Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % among Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories companies is 5.05, based on 1,069 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % mean?
A high Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Joel Greenblatt's earnings yield equals the ratio of earnings before interest and taxes to enterprise value. View historical data on Fossil Group and its competitors. For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, the median Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % is 5.05 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Fossil Group's current Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % is -1.29%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Fossil Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Fossil Group (FOSL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $1.18, compared to a current price of $4.20 — trading 255.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % is -1.29%. Fossil Group's overall GF Score™ is 47/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % calculated?
Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Fossil Group (FOSL), the current Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % is -1.29% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Fossil Group (FOSL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Fossil Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $4.20 is trading 255.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of $1.18. GuruFocus considers Fossil Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FOSL:

  • Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) %: -1.29%
  • GF Value™: $1.18 vs. price of $4.20 (255.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 47/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FOSL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Fossil Group Business Description

Other Exchanges FSL:GermanyFOSL:Austria
Address 901 S. Central Expressway, Richardson, TX, USA, 75080
Fossil Group Inc is a design, innovation, and distribution company in consumer fashion accessories, offering products such as watches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It designs, develops, markets, and distributes products under its owned brands FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, RELIC, and ZODIAC. It operates through Americas, Europe, and Asia segments, each including sales to wholesale and distributor customers, as well as Company-owned retail stores and e-commerce activities based on the location of the selling entity. The Americas segment contributes the majority of revenue and includes sales across Canada, Latin America, and the United States, while the Europe and Asia segments cover their respective regions. Each segment provides similar products and services.
47GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FOSL

Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$4.20
Price
$1.18
GF Value