FOSL (Fossil Group) Shiller PE Ratio: (As of Sep. 03, 2026)

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FOSL Fossil Group Inc FOSL
47 GF Score
Price $5.04
GF Value $1.20
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Fossil Group Shiller PE Ratio?

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Fossil Group  (NAS:FOSL) Shiller PE Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.

Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.


Fossil Group Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms


Fossil Group Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Fossil Group's Shiller PE Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Fossil Group Shiller PE Ratio Chart

Fossil Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Shiller PE Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.32 4.68 0.00 0.00 0.00

Fossil Group Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Shiller PE Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

FOSL vs RCKY, DBI, WEYS: Shiller PE Ratio Comparison

For the Footwear & Accessories subindustry, Fossil Group's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fossil Group Shiller PE Ratio vs Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Fossil Group's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fossil Group's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.


FOSL
47GF Score
Fossil Group Inc FOSL
Shiller PE Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Fossil Group Shiller PE Ratio Calculation

For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Fossil Group's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Fossil Group's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnings per Share (Diluted)/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=-0.18/333.9520*333.9520
=-0.180

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Fossil Group Quarterly Data

Earnings per Share (Diluted) CPI Adj_EPS
201609 0.360 241.428 0.498
201612 1.030 241.432 1.425
201703 -1.000 243.801 -1.370
201706 -7.110 244.955 -9.693
201709 -0.110 246.819 -0.149
201712 -1.650 246.524 -2.235
201803 -0.990 249.554 -1.325
201806 -0.160 251.989 -0.212
201809 0.100 252.439 0.132
201812 0.940 251.233 1.249
201903 -0.250 254.202 -0.328
201906 -0.150 256.143 -0.196
201909 -0.510 256.759 -0.663
201912 -0.140 256.974 -0.182
202003 -1.690 258.115 -2.187
202006 -0.440 257.797 -0.570
202009 0.310 260.280 0.398
202012 -0.080 260.474 -0.103
202103 -0.470 264.877 -0.593
202106 -0.020 271.696 -0.025
202109 0.600 274.310 0.730
202112 0.370 278.802 0.443
202203 -0.410 287.504 -0.476
202206 -0.370 296.311 -0.417
202209 0.110 296.808 0.124
202212 -0.180 296.797 -0.203
202303 -0.800 301.836 -0.885
202306 -0.510 305.109 -0.558
202309 -1.160 307.789 -1.259
202312 -0.530 306.746 -0.577
202403 -0.460 312.332 -0.492
202406 -0.730 314.175 -0.776
202409 -0.600 315.301 -0.635
202412 -0.140 315.605 -0.148
202503 -0.330 319.799 -0.345
202506 -0.040 322.561 -0.041
202509 -0.760 324.800 -0.781
202512 -0.330 324.054 -0.340
202603 -0.010 330.213 -0.010
202606 -0.180 333.952 -0.180

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

Is Fossil Group (FOSL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Fossil Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $5.04 is trading 320% above its estimated GF Value™ of $1.20. GuruFocus considers Fossil Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FOSL:

  • Shiller PE Ratio:
  • GF Value™: $1.20 vs. price of $5.04 (320% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 47/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FOSL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Fossil Group Business Description

Other Exchanges FSL:GermanyFOSL:Austria
Address 901 S. Central Expressway, Richardson, TX, USA, 75080
Fossil Group Inc is a design, innovation, and distribution company in consumer fashion accessories, offering products such as watches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It designs, develops, markets, and distributes products under its owned brands FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, RELIC, and ZODIAC. It operates through Americas, Europe, and Asia segments, each including sales to wholesale and distributor customers, as well as Company-owned retail stores and e-commerce activities based on the location of the selling entity. The Americas segment contributes the majority of revenue and includes sales across Canada, Latin America, and the United States, while the Europe and Asia segments cover their respective regions. Each segment provides similar products and services.
47GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FOSL

Shiller PE Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$5.04
Price
$1.20
GF Value