The Estee Lauder (MEX:EL) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN76.90 (As of Mar. 2026)


MEX:EL The Estee Lauder Companies Inc MEX:EL
65 GF Score
Price MXN1,470.00
GF Value MXN1,563.67
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

The Estee Lauder MEX:EL 65 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN76.90 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:EL with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN1,563.67 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

The Estee Lauder's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN15.299. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN76.90 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, The Estee Lauder's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 0.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -3.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 4.10% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of The Estee Lauder was 22.10% per year. The lowest was -3.70% per year. And the median was 14.40% per year.

As of today (2026-07-08), The Estee Lauder's current stock price is MXN1470.00. The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN76.90. The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 19.12.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of The Estee Lauder was 84.14. The lowest was 11.74. And the median was 47.11.


The Estee Lauder  (MEX:EL) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=1470.00/76.90
=19.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of The Estee Lauder was 84.14. The lowest was 11.74. And the median was 47.11.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

The Estee Lauder Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 85.65 105.30 78.20 85.98 84.10

The Estee Lauder Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 90.16 84.10 80.42 81.28 76.90

MEX:EL vs CHD, KMB, KVUE: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:EL
65GF Score
The Estee Lauder Companies Inc MEX:EL
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, The Estee Lauder's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=15.299/330.2130*330.2130
=15.299

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

The Estee Lauder Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 13.881 241.018 19.018
201609 -12.172 241.428 -16.648
201612 47.088 241.432 64.404
201703 16.184 243.801 21.920
201706 16.921 244.955 22.810
201709 -1.644 246.819 -2.199
201712 63.185 246.524 84.635
201803 18.182 249.554 24.059
201806 19.927 251.989 26.113
201809 -12.340 252.439 -16.142
201812 65.185 251.233 85.677
201903 17.591 254.202 22.851
201906 23.848 256.143 30.744
201909 -15.800 256.759 -20.320
201912 64.752 256.974 83.207
202003 33.395 258.115 42.723
202006 11.343 257.797 14.529
202009 14.559 260.280 18.471
202012 80.325 260.474 101.831
202103 36.727 264.877 45.786
202106 32.573 271.696 39.588
202109 -15.985 274.310 -19.243
202112 93.770 278.802 111.061
202203 -4.162 287.504 -4.780
202206 38.270 296.311 42.649
202209 -44.638 296.808 -49.662
202212 61.344 296.797 68.251
202303 1.248 301.836 1.365
202306 -90.969 305.109 -98.454
202309 -33.968 307.789 -36.443
202312 52.479 306.746 56.494
202403 16.513 312.332 17.458
202406 34.009 314.175 35.745
202409 -44.407 315.301 -46.507
202412 53.588 315.605 56.068
202503 9.171 319.799 9.470
202506 20.568 322.561 21.056
202509 -22.015 324.800 -22.382
202512 50.197 324.054 51.151
202603 15.299 330.213 15.299

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN76.90 mean?
The Estee Lauder (MEX:EL) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN76.90 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on The Estee Lauder and its competitors.
Is The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
The Estee Lauder's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN76.90. Overall, The Estee Lauder has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to CHD and KMB?
The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN76.90 can be compared against companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on The Estee Lauder and its competitors. The Estee Lauder's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN76.90. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The Estee Lauder stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Estee Lauder (MEX:EL) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,563.67, compared to a current price of MXN1,470.00 — trading 6% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN76.90. The Estee Lauder's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The Estee Lauder (MEX:EL), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN76.90 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The Estee Lauder (MEX:EL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Estee Lauder stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN1,470.00 is trading 6% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,563.67. GuruFocus considers The Estee Lauder to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:EL:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN76.90
  • GF Value™: MXN1,563.67 vs. price of MXN1,470.00 (6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:EL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


The Estee Lauder Business Description

Address 767 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10153
Estée Lauder is a leader in the global prestige beauty market, participating across skin care (49% of fiscal 2025 sales), makeup (29%), fragrance (17%), and hair care and others (5%). Top-selling brands include Estée Lauder, Clinique, M.A.C, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, Bobbi Brown, and Origins. The firm operates in more than 150 countries, generating 31% of revenue from the Americas, 37% from Europe, the Middle East and Africa (including travel retail), and 32% from Asia-Pacific. Estée Lauder sells its products through department stores, travel retail, specialty multibrand beauty stores, brand-dedicated freestanding stores, e-commerce, salons/spas, and perfumeries.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:EL

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN1,470.00
Price
MXN1,563.67
GF Value