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The Estee Lauder (MEX:EL) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 25.23 (As of Jul. 24, 2024)


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What is The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-07-24), The Estee Lauder's current share price is MXN1784.00. The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was MXN70.72. The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 25.23.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:EL' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 21.61   Med: 49.17   Max: 84.14
Current: 21.77

During the past years, The Estee Lauder's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 84.14. The lowest was 21.61. And the median was 49.17.

MEX:EL's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
50.35% of 711 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 21.74 vs MEX:EL: 21.77

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

The Estee Lauder's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was MXN16.513. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN70.72 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

The Estee Lauder Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 56.25 53.47 73.11 50.11 43.18

The Estee Lauder Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 48.62 43.18 32.77 32.51 33.57

Competitive Comparison of The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=1784.00/70.72
=25.23

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, The Estee Lauder's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=16.513/131.7762*131.7762
=16.513

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

The Estee Lauder Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 6.596 100.560 8.644
201409 1.695 100.428 2.224
201412 28.931 99.070 38.482
201503 11.845 99.621 15.668
201506 14.910 100.684 19.514
201509 -3.656 100.392 -4.799
201512 37.545 99.792 49.578
201603 11.137 100.470 14.607
201606 13.881 101.688 17.988
201609 -12.172 101.861 -15.747
201612 47.088 101.863 60.916
201703 16.184 102.862 20.733
201706 16.921 103.349 21.575
201709 -1.644 104.136 -2.080
201712 63.185 104.011 80.052
201803 18.182 105.290 22.756
201806 19.927 106.317 24.699
201809 -12.340 106.507 -15.268
201812 65.185 105.998 81.038
201903 17.591 107.251 21.614
201906 23.848 108.070 29.079
201909 -15.800 108.329 -19.220
201912 64.752 108.420 78.701
202003 33.395 108.902 40.410
202006 11.343 108.767 13.743
202009 14.559 109.815 17.471
202012 80.325 109.897 96.317
202103 36.727 111.754 43.307
202106 32.573 114.631 37.445
202109 -15.985 115.734 -18.201
202112 93.770 117.630 105.047
202203 -4.162 121.301 -4.521
202206 38.270 125.017 40.339
202209 -44.638 125.227 -46.973
202212 61.344 125.222 64.555
202303 1.248 127.348 1.291
202306 -90.969 128.729 -93.123
202309 -33.968 129.860 -34.469
202312 52.479 129.419 53.435
202403 16.513 131.776 16.513

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


The Estee Lauder  (MEX:EL) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Estee Lauder (MEX:EL) Business Description

Address
767 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10153
Estee Lauder is a leader in the global prestige beauty market, participating across skin care (56% of 2022 sales), makeup (26%), fragrance (14%), and hair care (4%) categories, with top-selling brands such as Estee Lauder, Clinique, M.A.C, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, Bobbi Brown, and Origins. The firm operates in more than 150 countries, generating 26% of revenue from the Americas, 43% from Europe, the Middle East and Africa (including travel retail), and 31% from Asia Pacific. Estee Lauder sells its products through department stores, travel retail, specialty multibrand beauty stores, brand-dedicated freestanding stores, e-commerce, salons/spas, and perfumeries.