SRCE (1st Source) Earnings Power Value (EPV): $42.53 (As of Jun26)

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SRCE 1st Source Corp SRCE
66 GF Score
Price $89.69
GF Value $69.87
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is 1st Source Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

1st Source SRCE -0.12% 66 Earnings Power Value (EPV) is $42.53 as of Jun26. GuruFocus rates SRCE with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of $69.87 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

As of Jun26, 1st Source's earnings power value is $42.53. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -110.87

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


1st Source  (NAS:SRCE) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


1st Source Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms


1st Source Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for 1st Source's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

1st Source Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

1st Source Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 67.31 67.05 54.98 54.36 24.95

1st Source Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 45.92 48.32 24.95 42.36 42.53

SRCE vs HAPN, FCF, CHCO: Earnings Power Value (EPV) Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, 1st Source's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


1st Source Earnings Power Value (EPV) vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, 1st Source's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where 1st Source's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.


SRCE
66GF Score
1st Source Corp SRCE
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

1st Source Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

1st Source's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 389.6
DDA 15.0
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 32.9
Tax Rate % 22.73
Maintenance Capex 5.8
Cash and Cash Equivalents 1,299.8
Short-Term Debt 136.0
Long-Term Debt 94.8
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 24.1

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $389.6 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 32.9,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 389.6 * 0.00% +32.9 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 22.73%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 22.73% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 15.0 * 0.5 * 22.73% = $1.708393767 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 1.708393767 = $1.708393767 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
1st Source's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $5.8 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. 1st Source's current cash and cash equivalent = $1,299.8 Mil.
1st Source's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 94.8 + 136.0 = $230.786 Mil.
1st Source's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 24.1 Mil.

1st Source's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jun26 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 1.708393767 - 5.8)/ 9%+1,299.8-230.786 )/24.1
=42.53

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 42.533679395081-89.69 )/42.533679395081
= -110.87%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

What does a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of $42.53 mean?
1st Source (SRCE) has a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of $42.53 as of Jun26. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on 1st Source and its competitors.
Is 1st Source's Earnings Power Value (EPV) too high?
1st Source's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is $42.53. Overall, 1st Source has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does 1st Source's Earnings Power Value (EPV) compare to HAPN and FCF?
1st Source's Earnings Power Value (EPV) of $42.53 can be compared against companies in the Banks industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Earnings Power Value (EPV) for a Banks company?
A good Earnings Power Value (EPV) depends on the Banks industry context. However, Earnings Power Value (EPV) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Earnings Power Value (EPV) mean?
A high Earnings Power Value (EPV) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on 1st Source and its competitors. 1st Source's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is $42.53. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is 1st Source stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, 1st Source (SRCE) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $69.87, compared to a current price of $89.69 — trading 28.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is $42.53. 1st Source's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Earnings Power Value (EPV) calculated?
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For 1st Source (SRCE), the current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is $42.53 as of Jun26. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is 1st Source (SRCE) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, 1st Source stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $89.69 is trading 28.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of $69.87. GuruFocus considers 1st Source to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for SRCE:

  • Earnings Power Value (EPV): $42.53
  • GF Value™: $69.87 vs. price of $89.69 (28.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SRCE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


1st Source Business Description

Address 100 North Michigan Street, South Bend, IN, USA, 46601
1st Source Corp provides specialized financing services for construction equipment, aircraft, and vehicle types through its Specialty Finance activities. The company offers commercial, small business, agricultural, and real estate loans, along with commercial leasing, treasury management, and payment services, including Fedwires, ACH, and merchant services. It also provides Renewable Energy Financing for commercial solar projects, a full range of consumer banking products, Trust and Wealth Advisory Services, and insurance products. The company operates in the commercial banking segment, which provides commercial and consumer banking services, trust and wealth advisory services, and insurance to individual and business clients across its markets.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SRCE

Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$89.69
Price
$69.87
GF Value