CHR (Cheer Holding) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $1,283.49 (As of Aug. 29, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

CHR Cheer Holding Inc CHR
53 GF Score
Price $1.80
GF Value $11.04
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Cheer Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Cheer Holding CHR -1.10% 53 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1,283.49 as of Aug. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates CHR with a GF Score™ of 53/100 and a GF Value™ of $11.04 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 618 Media - Diversified companies, Cheer Holding ranks worse than 161812.14% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-29), Cheer Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1,283.49. The stock price of Cheer Holding is $1.80. Therefore, Cheer Holding's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cheer Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Cheer Holding was 0.07. The lowest was 0.07. And the median was 0.07.

CHR's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Media - Diversified industry.
Industry Median: 0.82
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Cheer Holding  (NAS:CHR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Cheer Holding's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.80/1283.4872815599
=0.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cheer Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Cheer Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Cheer Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Cheer Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Cheer Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 6,768.72 5,302.13 1,283.49

Cheer Holding Semi-Annual Data
Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 5,302.13 0.00 1,283.49 0.00

CHR vs TDIC, SPTY, STFS: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Advertising Agencies subindustry, Cheer Holding's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cheer Holding Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Cheer Holding's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cheer Holding's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


CHR
53GF Score
Cheer Holding Inc CHR
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Cheer Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Cheer Holding's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $16.79.

Cheer Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*16.794714285714+369.683*0.8)/0.355
=1,283.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1,283.49 mean?
Cheer Holding (CHR) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1,283.49 as of Aug. 29, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Cheer Holding and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Cheer Holding ranks #999999 out of 618 companies in the Media - Diversified industry.
Is Cheer Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Cheer Holding's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1,283.49. The Media - Diversified industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.82. Cheer Holding's value of $1,283.49 is 156423.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Cheer Holding ranks #999999 out of 618 companies in the Media - Diversified industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Cheer Holding has a GF Score™ of 53/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Cheer Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to TDIC and SPTY?
According to the Media - Diversified industry distribution chart, Cheer Holding ranks #999999 out of 618 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Cheer Holding in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.82. Cheer Holding's value of $1,283.49 is 156423.2% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Media - Diversified company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Media - Diversified companies is 0.82, based on 618 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Cheer Holding's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1,283.49 is 156423.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Cheer Holding and its competitors. For the Media - Diversified industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.82 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Cheer Holding's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1,283.49. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Cheer Holding stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Cheer Holding (CHR) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $11.04, compared to a current price of $1.80 — trading 83.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1,283.49 and 156423.2% above the Media - Diversified industry median of 0.82. Cheer Holding's overall GF Score™ is 53/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Cheer Holding (CHR), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1,283.49 as of Aug. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Cheer Holding (CHR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Cheer Holding stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $1.80 is trading 83.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of $11.04. GuruFocus considers Cheer Holding to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for CHR:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $1,283.49
  • GF Value™: $11.04 vs. price of $1.80 (83.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 53/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 156423.2% above the Media - Diversified median (#999999 of 618)

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Cheer Holding Business Description

Address No. 8 Tuofangying South Road, 22nd Floor, Block B, Xinhua Technology Building, Jiuxianqiao, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN, 100016
Cheer Holding Inc is a provider of next generation mobile internet infrastructure and platform services in China. It is engaged in building a digital ecosystem that integrates platforms, applications, technology, and industry into a cohesive system, thereby creating a new, open business environment that leverages AI technology. Its portfolio includes various products and services, such as Polaris Intelligent Cloud, CHEERS Telepathy, CHEERS Open Platform, CHEERS Video, CHEERS e-Mall, CheerCar, CheerChat, CHEERS Fresh Group-Buying E-commerce Platform, Digital Innovation Research Institute, CHEERS Livestreaming, variety show series, IP short video matrix, and more.
53GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHR

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$1.80
Price
$11.04
GF Value