AUB Group (ASX:AUB) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 47.20% (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


ASX:AUB AUB Group Ltd ASX:AUB
85 GF Score
Price A$28.06
GF Value A$49.04
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is AUB Group Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

AUB Group ASX:AUB +0.07% 85 Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 47.20% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:AUB with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of A$49.04 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-24), AUB Group's Predictability Rank is 2.5-Stars. AUB Group's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted FCF model is A$31.13 and current share price is A$28.06. Consequently,

AUB Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) using Discounted FCF model is 47.20%.

ASX:AUB vs MRSH, AON, AJG: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Insurance Brokers subindustry, AUB Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

AUB Group Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, AUB Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AUB Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


ASX:AUB
85GF Score
AUB Group Ltd ASX:AUB
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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AUB Group Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Calculation

AUB Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(53.14-28.06)/53.14
=47.20 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted FCF model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Earnings model except free cash flow are used in the calculation instead of earnings per share.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 47.20% mean?
AUB Group (ASX:AUB) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 47.20% as of Jun. 24, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on AUB Group.
Is AUB Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) too high?
AUB Group's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 47.20%. Overall, AUB Group has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does AUB Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) compare to MRSH and AON?
AUB Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 47.20% can be compared against companies in the Insurance industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for an Insurance company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) depends on the Insurance industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on AUB Group. AUB Group's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 47.20%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is AUB Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AUB Group (ASX:AUB) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is A$49.04, compared to a current price of A$28.06 — trading 42.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 47.20%. AUB Group's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For AUB Group (ASX:AUB), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 47.20% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is AUB Group (ASX:AUB) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AUB Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of A$28.06 is trading 42.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$49.04. GuruFocus considers AUB Group to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for ASX:AUB:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 47.20%
  • GF Value™: A$49.04 vs. price of A$28.06 (42.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:AUB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

AUB Group Business Description

Other Exchanges A5H:Germany
Address 141 Walker Street, Level 14, North Sydney, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2060
AUB Group is the second-largest general insurance broker network in Australia and New Zealand. It has an ownership in brokerage businesses that collectively write over AUD 5 billion in premiums. It also owns equity stakes in 35 underwriting agencies. AUB derives revenue from commissions (from insurers, ultimately paid for by AUB's customers), based on gross written premium from agencies it owns, and a share of profits from associates and joint ventures. GWP is split among personal (3%), small to medium enterprises (70%), and corporates (27%).
85GF Score

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Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$28.06
Price
A$49.04
GF Value