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Viva Energy Group (ASX:VEA) Beneish M-Score : -3.13 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Viva Energy Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.13 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Viva Energy Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:VEA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.31   Med: -2.76   Max: -2.33
Current: -3.13

During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Viva Energy Group was -2.33. The lowest was -3.31. And the median was -2.76.


Viva Energy Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Viva Energy Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Viva Energy Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Viva Energy Group Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - -3.31 -2.38 -2.33 -3.13

Viva Energy Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec17 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.38 - -2.33 - -3.13

Competitive Comparison of Viva Energy Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Viva Energy Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Viva Energy Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Viva Energy Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Viva Energy Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Viva Energy Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Viva Energy Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0114+0.528 * 1.7396+0.404 * 0.8544+0.892 * 0.9778+0.115 * 0.9899
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0238+4.679 * -0.201557-0.327 * 1.0873
=-3.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$1,980 Mil.
Revenue was A$25,615 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$1,225 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$4,125 Mil.
Total Assets was A$9,082 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$4,056 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$444 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$1,049 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$4,120 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$2,789 Mil.
Net Income was A$4 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$1,155 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$679 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$2,002 Mil.
Revenue was A$26,197 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$2,180 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$3,889 Mil.
Total Assets was A$8,624 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$3,732 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$404 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$1,048 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$3,749 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$2,284 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1979.7 / 25615.4) / (2001.8 / 26196.5)
=0.077286 / 0.076415
=1.0114

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2179.6 / 26196.5) / (1225.1 / 25615.4)
=0.083202 / 0.047827
=1.7396

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4125 + 4055.7) / 9082.3) / (1 - (3889.4 + 3732.2) / 8623.6)
=0.09927 / 0.116193
=0.8544

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=25615.4 / 26196.5
=0.9778

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(404.2 / (404.2 + 3732.2)) / (444.2 / (444.2 + 4055.7))
=0.097718 / 0.098713
=0.9899

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1048.6 / 25615.4) / (1047.5 / 26196.5)
=0.040936 / 0.039986
=1.0238

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2788.5 + 4120.4) / 9082.3) / ((2284.4 + 3749) / 8623.6)
=0.760699 / 0.699638
=1.0873

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3.8 - 1155.4 - 679) / 9082.3
=-0.201557

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Viva Energy Group has a M-score of -3.13 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Viva Energy Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Viva Energy Group (ASX:VEA) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
720 Bourke Street, Level 16, Docklands, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3008
Viva is Australia's second-largest vertically integrated refined transport fuel supplier. We rate Viva as the second-most-significant pipeline owner, and at approximately 1,155 locations, Viva supplies the third-largest number of retail sites in Australia behind Ampol at approximately 1,985 and BP at 1,400.Vitol bought Shell's Australian downstream operations in 2014, and renamed them Viva Energy. Viva subsequently bought Shell's Australian aviation operations and a 50% investment in Liberty Oil. In 2016, Viva sold (and leased back) a portfolio of its retail sites to Viva Energy REIT and listed Viva Energy REIT on the ASX. It has since sold its entire REIT stake for AUD 734 million.

Viva Energy Group (ASX:VEA) Headlines

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