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SIGGF (Sigma Healthcare) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -1.22% (As of Jan. 2024)


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What is Sigma Healthcare Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Sigma Healthcare's forward rate of return for was -1.22%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sigma Healthcare's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

SIGGF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -14.91   Med: -3.09   Max: 30.39
Current: -1.97

During the past 13 years, Sigma Healthcare's highest Forward Rate of Return was 30.39. The lowest was -14.91. And the median was -3.09.

SIGGF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
77.03% of 74 companies
in the Medical Distribution industry
Industry Median: 10.21 vs SIGGF: -1.97

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Sigma Healthcare Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sigma Healthcare's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sigma Healthcare Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Sigma Healthcare Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -9.09 -5.85 -14.31 -10.27 -1.22

Sigma Healthcare Semi-Annual Data
Jan15 Jul15 Jan16 Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24 Jul24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -10.27 - -1.22 -

Competitive Comparison of Sigma Healthcare's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Medical Distribution subindustry, Sigma Healthcare's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sigma Healthcare's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Medical Distribution Industry

For the Medical Distribution industry and Healthcare sector, Sigma Healthcare's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sigma Healthcare's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Sigma Healthcare Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Sigma Healthcare's Forward Rate of Return of Jan. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.00666667/0.4+-0.0377
=-2.10 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Sigma Healthcare  (OTCPK:SIGGF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Sigma Healthcare Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Sigma Healthcare's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Sigma Healthcare Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2125 Dandenong Road, Level 6, Clayton, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3168
Sigma Healthcare is an Australian pharmaceutical distributor, wholesaler and pharmacy franchisor. The revenue growth prospects and returns of pharmaceutical distribution are subdued due to ongoing Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme, or PBS, price reform, and regulated wholesale gross margins being capped at 7% for community pharmacy. As a result, Sigma and its competitors are seeking to expand into unregulated revenue streams. In addition, pharmacy ownership is restricted to pharmacists, thereby excluding direct corporate ownership and requiring exposure via a franchise business model.