Japan TranscityNGO:9310 73 Altman Z2-Score is 4.04 as of Jul. 05, 2026, which is 19% above its 10-year median of 3.39. GuruFocus rates NGO:9310 with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of 円705.09. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,000 Transportation companies, Japan Transcity ranks better than 63.8% on this metric.
Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.
Good Sign:
Japan Transcity has a Altman Z2-Score of 4.04, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Japan Transcity's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:
NGO:9310'
s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.57 Med: 3.39 Max: 4.17
Current: 4.04
During the past 13 years, Japan Transcity's highest Altman Z2-Score was 4.17. The lowest was 2.57. And the median was 3.39.
Japan Transcity (NGO:9310) Altman Z2-Score Explanation
The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Japan Transcity Altman Z2-Score Related Terms
Japan Transcity Altman Z2-Score Historical Data
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The historical data trend for Japan Transcity's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
NGO:9310 vs UPS, FDX, JBHT: Altman Z2-Score Comparison
For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, Japan Transcity's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Japan Transcity Altman Z2-Score vs Transportation Industry
For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Japan Transcity's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Japan Transcity's Altman Z2-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.
Japan Transcity's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
6.56
*
X1
+
3.26
*
X2
+
6.72
*
X3
+
1.05
*
X4_2
=
6.56
*
0.1192
+
3.26
*
0.4102
+
6.72
*
0.0553
+
1.05
*
1.472
=
4.04
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.
Japan Transcity (NGO:9310) has a Altman Z2-Score of 4.04 as of Jul. 05, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Japan Transcity and its competitors. This is 19% above median its historical median of 3.39. Over the past decade, Japan Transcity's Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 2.57 to 4.17. According to the industry distribution chart, Japan Transcity ranks #362 out of 1000 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 36.2%.
Is Japan Transcity's Altman Z2-Score too high?
Japan Transcity's current Altman Z2-Score of 4.04 is 19% above median its 10-year median of 3.39. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.57 to a high of 4.17. The Transportation industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.93. Japan Transcity's value of 4.04 is 38.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Japan Transcity ranks #362 out of 1000 companies in the Transportation industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Japan Transcity has a GF Score™ of 73/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Japan Transcity's Altman Z2-Score compare to UPS and FDX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Japan Transcity ranks #362 out of 1000 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This puts Japan Transcity in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.93. Japan Transcity's value of 4.04 is 38.1% above this benchmark. Historically, Japan Transcity's own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 2.57 to 4.17 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.39 vs. the industry median of 2.93, Japan Transcity has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Transportation company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Transportation companies is 2.93, based on 1,000 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Japan Transcity's current Altman Z2-Score of 4.04 is 38.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Japan Transcity and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 2.93 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Japan Transcity's current Altman Z2-Score is 4.04, which is 19% above median its own 10-year median of 3.39. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Japan Transcity stock overvalued right now?
Japan Transcity (NGO:9310) has a current Altman Z2-Score of 4.04. The stock's GF Value™ is 円705.09, compared to a current price of 円878.00 — trading 24.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 4.04, which is 19% above median its 10-year median of 3.39 and 38.1% above the Transportation industry median of 2.93. Japan Transcity's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Japan Transcity (NGO:9310), the current Altman Z2-Score is 4.04 as of Jul. 05, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Japan Transcity (NGO:9310) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Japan Transcity stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of 円878.00 is trading 24.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円705.09.
Key valuation signals for NGO:9310:
Altman Z2-Score: 4.04 (19% above median its 10-year median of 3.39)
GF Value™: 円705.09 vs. price of 円878.00 (24.5% above fair value)
Industry Position: 38.1% above the Transportation median (#362 of 1000)
No single metric tells the full story. See the NGO:9310 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Japan Transcity Corp is a Japan-based integrated logistics company. It offers various logistics services including warehousing, domestic transportation, international freight forwarding, overseas logistics, logistics consulting and vehicle maintenance. The company's network covers all of Japan from Kanto, Chubu, Kansai, Hokkaido, and Kyushu, and expands to the U.S., Thailand, Singapore, China, and across the world.
73GF Score
Get the complete analysis for NGO:9310
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