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The Vita Coco Co (The Vita Coco Co) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is The Vita Coco Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, The Vita Coco Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of The Vita Coco Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, The Vita Coco Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

The Vita Coco Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Vita Coco Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Vita Coco Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


The Vita Coco Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.24

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

The Vita Coco Co  (NAS:COCO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

The Vita Coco Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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The Vita Coco Co (The Vita Coco Co) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Beverages - Non-Alcoholic » The Vita Coco Co Inc (NAS:COCO) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Comparable Companies
ZVIA SHOT BRFH JSDA REED PSCBF WTER ASII FIZZ COKE KO PEP HKSE:09633 MNST KDP LSE:CCEP AC COCSF NSE:VBL CELH
Traded in Other Exchanges
85E:Germany 85E:Germany
Address
250 Park Avenue South, Seventh Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10003
Website
https://www.thevitacococompany.com
The Vita Coco Co Inc is a plant-based functional hydration platform. Its products include Vita Coco Coconut Water, Private Label including coconut water and oil, and Other including Runa and Ever & Ever product offerings, Vita Coco product extensions beyond coconut water, such as Vita Coco Sparkling, coconut milk products, and others. Geographical presence of the company is United States, Canada, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions.
Executives
Michael Kirban director, officer: See Remarks C/O THE VITA COCO COMPANY, INC., 250 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, SEVENTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Ira Liran director, officer: See Remarks C/O THE VITA COCO COMPANY, INC., 250 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, SEVENTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Rowena Ricalde officer: Interim CFO C/O THE VITA COCO COMPANY, INC., 250 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, SEVENTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Jonathan Burth officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O THE VITA COCO COMPANY, INC., 250 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, SEVENTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Jane Prior officer: Chief Marketing Officer C/O THE VITA COCO COMPANY, INC., 250 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, SEVENTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Es Charles Van officer: Chief Sales Officer C/O THE VITA COCO COMPANY, INC., 250 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, SEVENTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Beverages Sa Verlinvest 10 percent owner PLACE EUGENE FLAGEY 18, BRUSSELS C9 B-1050
Eric Melloul director, 10 percent owner C/O THE VITA COCO COMPANY, INC., 250 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, SEVENTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Aishetu Fatima Dozie director 2550 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 150, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Baker Corey officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O THE VITA COCO COMPANY, INC., 250 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Kenneth Sadowsky director C/O THE VITA COCO COMPANY, INC., 250 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, SEVENTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Kevin Benmoussa officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O THE VITA COCO COMPANY, INC., 250 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, SEVENTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Martin F Roper director, officer: See Remarks
Axelle Henry director, 10 percent owner C/O THE VITA COCO COMPANY, INC., 250 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, SEVENTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Rw Vc S.a.r.l. 10 percent owner 11 AVENUE DE LA PORTE-NEUVE, LUXEMBOURG N4 2227